McCartin

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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607204Post saynta »

Toy Saint wrote:Agree with Mathews, but not convinced about Ablett. I don't recall Ablett 'tearing up' St Kilda too many times, from memory he never did much in the Geelong B&F, and I've often suspected his performance may have been artificially assisted. Admittedly he did look impressive on the TV highlights.
Geez, I do, unfortunately.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607206Post st.byron »

The OtherThommo wrote:
........................
As an indication of how much the scoring patterns have evolved (e.g. greater spread away from dominant key forwards), here's the list of leading goalkickers, by year, up to 2014:

http://footystats.freeservers.com/Footy ... dGoal.html

Compare, say, the last 10 years, with the 10 years of the '90's when most of your list were underway. Kennedy kicked what, 80+ last year? In a year his side played off, and he turned 27 last year. Given Kennedy doesn't feature anywhere else in that list prior to last year, and the list shows the top 3 minimum by year, let's suggest Kennedy had a break out year last year - at 27.

80 odd goals seems to be around the modern game ceiling for the leading goalscorer, and even that looks statistically generous (given the last bloke to kick over 73 was Fevola in '09).

Of the players I wondered about, Franklin started the furthest back, in '05, so 11 years ago.

Franklin kicked 21 from 20 games in his 1st year, 31 from 14 games in his 2nd and 73 from 22 games in his 3rd. He's the last bloke to kick 100, in '08, in his 4th year (and 8 years ago, assuming no-one does it this year, which they won't).

While Franklin started in spots other than as a key forward, I'd suggest his first 2 seasons, 34 game, average of ~ 11 disposals a game (7K/4H) show the Dorks were willing to be patient.

And, again, how much has the game changed in those 11 years? I reckon one way to tell is to look at Franklin since he kicked the ton in '08. By that list, his season high since '08 is 71 goals (missing last year's numbers, as noted earlier).

Further to what you wrote yesterday ToT about goalkicking trends, this article with stats from Robert Nguyen, 'The Numbers Guy', in today's Age :

"On Sunday, on a windy day in the Apple Isle, Brent Harvey, shortly to turn 38, kicked six goals as North Melbourne edged past Melbourne.

It was Boomer's first bag of five or more goals in 6,498 days (or more than 17 years). In 1998, the year of his last five-goal game (and when John Howard was in his first term as PM), that feat was achieved 138 times across the league.

Last season, it happened just 67 times.

Five-goal hauls peaked well above the 150-mark in the early to mid-1990s and have basically declined ever since."


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607220Post Griggsy »

st.byron wrote:
The OtherThommo wrote:
........................
As an indication of how much the scoring patterns have evolved (e.g. greater spread away from dominant key forwards), here's the list of leading goalkickers, by year, up to 2014:

http://footystats.freeservers.com/Footy ... dGoal.html

Compare, say, the last 10 years, with the 10 years of the '90's when most of your list were underway. Kennedy kicked what, 80+ last year? In a year his side played off, and he turned 27 last year. Given Kennedy doesn't feature anywhere else in that list prior to last year, and the list shows the top 3 minimum by year, let's suggest Kennedy had a break out year last year - at 27.

80 odd goals seems to be around the modern game ceiling for the leading goalscorer, and even that looks statistically generous (given the last bloke to kick over 73 was Fevola in '09).

Of the players I wondered about, Franklin started the furthest back, in '05, so 11 years ago.

Franklin kicked 21 from 20 games in his 1st year, 31 from 14 games in his 2nd and 73 from 22 games in his 3rd. He's the last bloke to kick 100, in '08, in his 4th year (and 8 years ago, assuming no-one does it this year, which they won't).

While Franklin started in spots other than as a key forward, I'd suggest his first 2 seasons, 34 game, average of ~ 11 disposals a game (7K/4H) show the Dorks were willing to be patient.

And, again, how much has the game changed in those 11 years? I reckon one way to tell is to look at Franklin since he kicked the ton in '08. By that list, his season high since '08 is 71 goals (missing last year's numbers, as noted earlier).

Further to what you wrote yesterday ToT about goalkicking trends, this article with stats from Robert Nguyen, 'The Numbers Guy', in today's Age :

"On Sunday, on a windy day in the Apple Isle, Brent Harvey, shortly to turn 38, kicked six goals as North Melbourne edged past Melbourne.

It was Boomer's first bag of five or more goals in 6,498 days (or more than 17 years). In 1998, the year of his last five-goal game (and when John Howard was in his first term as PM), that feat was achieved 138 times across the league.

Last season, it happened just 67 times.

Five-goal hauls peaked well above the 150-mark in the early to mid-1990s and have basically declined ever since."


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attribute to the death of 1v1. Roo could have kicked 100 if it wasn't for defensive floods, zones, loose defenders, defenders dropping into the hole etc.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607226Post The OtherThommo »

st.byron wrote:
The OtherThommo wrote:
........................
As an indication of how much the scoring patterns have evolved (e.g. greater spread away from dominant key forwards), here's the list of leading goalkickers, by year, up to 2014:

http://footystats.freeservers.com/Footy ... dGoal.html

Compare, say, the last 10 years, with the 10 years of the '90's when most of your list were underway. Kennedy kicked what, 80+ last year? In a year his side played off, and he turned 27 last year. Given Kennedy doesn't feature anywhere else in that list prior to last year, and the list shows the top 3 minimum by year, let's suggest Kennedy had a break out year last year - at 27.

80 odd goals seems to be around the modern game ceiling for the leading goalscorer, and even that looks statistically generous (given the last bloke to kick over 73 was Fevola in '09).

Of the players I wondered about, Franklin started the furthest back, in '05, so 11 years ago.

Franklin kicked 21 from 20 games in his 1st year, 31 from 14 games in his 2nd and 73 from 22 games in his 3rd. He's the last bloke to kick 100, in '08, in his 4th year (and 8 years ago, assuming no-one does it this year, which they won't).

While Franklin started in spots other than as a key forward, I'd suggest his first 2 seasons, 34 game, average of ~ 11 disposals a game (7K/4H) show the Dorks were willing to be patient.

And, again, how much has the game changed in those 11 years? I reckon one way to tell is to look at Franklin since he kicked the ton in '08. By that list, his season high since '08 is 71 goals (missing last year's numbers, as noted earlier).

Further to what you wrote yesterday ToT about goalkicking trends, this article with stats from Robert Nguyen, 'The Numbers Guy', in today's Age :

"On Sunday, on a windy day in the Apple Isle, Brent Harvey, shortly to turn 38, kicked six goals as North Melbourne edged past Melbourne.

It was Boomer's first bag of five or more goals in 6,498 days (or more than 17 years). In 1998, the year of his last five-goal game (and when John Howard was in his first term as PM), that feat was achieved 138 times across the league.

Last season, it happened just 67 times.

Five-goal hauls peaked well above the 150-mark in the early to mid-1990s and have basically declined ever since."


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607378Post Munga »

Paddy will bag a five goal game before the year is out.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607427Post supersaints »

saintsRrising wrote:
Toy Saint wrote:Agree with Mathews, but not convinced about Ablett. I don't recall Ablett 'tearing up' St Kilda too many times, from memory he never did much in the Geelong B&F, and I've often suspected his performance may have been artificially assisted. Admittedly he did look impressive on the TV highlights.
StKilda was one of the few teams that Ablett did not run amok against most games.

I remember one game at Moorabbin where Winmar was matched up against him and Nicky beat him keeping Ablett on the quiet side while being damaging himself.
Lucky for us Frawley had the wood on Gabblet, I recall one game at Geelong Danny kept him to zero disposals ( could have made one handball but I don't think so) Gablett was reported for striking Frawley, that was the year he was supposed to be a Briownlow favourite.
There have been many great players unable to beat certain apponents... Carey never beat the West Coast center half back ( forget his name... Jackovitch?)
Lowe always struggled against the dogs center half back. Plugger was teamed by up to 3 players by Essendon to curtail him
Gablett was very very good, but there's only "one Tony Lockett"


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607428Post st.byron »

supersaints wrote:. Carey never beat the West Coast center half back ( forget his name... Jackovitch?)
Glen Jakovich


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607448Post Wayne42 »

I just hope that during Paddy's development the club doesn't have to send him to Jenny Craig.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607451Post kosifantutti »

supersaints wrote:
saintsRrising wrote:
Toy Saint wrote:Agree with Mathews, but not convinced about Ablett. I don't recall Ablett 'tearing up' St Kilda too many times, from memory he never did much in the Geelong B&F, and I've often suspected his performance may have been artificially assisted. Admittedly he did look impressive on the TV highlights.
StKilda was one of the few teams that Ablett did not run amok against most games.

I remember one game at Moorabbin where Winmar was matched up against him and Nicky beat him keeping Ablett on the quiet side while being damaging himself.
Lucky for us Frawley had the wood on Gabblet, I recall one game at Geelong Danny kept him to zero disposals ( could have made one handball but I don't think so) Gablett was reported for striking Frawley, that was the year he was supposed to be a Briownlow favourite.
There have been many great players unable to beat certain apponents... Carey never beat the West Coast center half back ( forget his name... Jackovitch?)
Lowe always struggled against the dogs center half back. Plugger was teamed by up to 3 players by Essendon to curtail him
Gablett was very very good, but there's only "one Tony Lockett"
I don't think he was ever kept to one disposal.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607457Post BigMart »

He wasn't

And Carey got the better of Jako occasionally


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607475Post stonecold »

In the words of the 'CouldhavebeenChampions', theres only one Paddy MaCartin!!!


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607482Post Rosco »

kosifantutti wrote: I don't think he was ever kept to one disposal.
Not 1, but plenty of single digits against spud including 6 in the 1991 elimination final that we lost
http://afltables.com/afl/stats/games/19 ... 10908.html


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607487Post ROLS-LEE »

Rosco wrote:
kosifantutti wrote: I don't think he was ever kept to one disposal.
Not 1, but plenty of single digits against spud including 6 in the 1991 elimination final that we lost
http://afltables.com/afl/stats/games/19 ... 10908.html
From memory didn't Bairstow Stoneham and Couch have the wood on us


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607498Post spert »

ROLS-LEE wrote:
Rosco wrote:
kosifantutti wrote: I don't think he was ever kept to one disposal.
Not 1, but plenty of single digits against spud including 6 in the 1991 elimination final that we lost
http://afltables.com/afl/stats/games/19 ... 10908.html
From memory didn't Bairstow Stoneham and Couch have the wood on us
I was at the game, and I think once D Grant got clobbered and N Burke got injured, then was where we lost the edge, and I think we were doing OK up to then.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607510Post bigcarl »

spert wrote:
ROLS-LEE wrote:
Rosco wrote:
kosifantutti wrote: I don't think he was ever kept to one disposal.
Not 1, but plenty of single digits against spud including 6 in the 1991 elimination final that we lost
http://afltables.com/afl/stats/games/19 ... 10908.html
From memory didn't Bairstow Stoneham and Couch have the wood on us
I was at the game, and I think once D Grant got clobbered and N Burke got injured, then was where we lost the edge, and I think we were doing OK up to then.
Brownless smashed us in that game and for once Plugger forgot his kicking boots. Kicked 9.7 or 9.5 or something like that. I think Brownless may have kicked 8 or 9 as well.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607512Post #gosaintas »

My memory is that altough Ablett was quiet in that game, he flattened Grant and Burke, taking them ot of the game. And yes, I thihnk Brownless 9 and Lockett 8, or something like that. Winmar and McAdam were great too. Long time ago for my memory.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607515Post Goose is king »

Back to Paddy.
A bag of 5 today would shut any knocker up.
Looking forward to watching him play a full game.
Injured in first nab challenge and last week.
Played the full game against dogs but ball movement didn't make things easy and it even started the other thread.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607517Post Rosco »

It was brown less 8-3 and plugger 9-5 as per the link

http://afltables.com/afl/stats/games/19 ... 10908.html


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607528Post 8856brother »

Unfortunately Plugger had his 9 at 3/4 time and was goalless in the last qtr. One of the great games. First final I had seen us in after following them all my life. I was 22. The wait was far too long.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607845Post supersaints »

BigMart wrote:He wasn't

And Carey got the better of Jako occasionally
I was at the game ... I am positive.. Would appreciate if you could show me the stats on possessions by game, it was at Kardiina park, I had a beer with him after the match.l I can't prove it but I will try to search


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607854Post The Fireman »

his big grab had me jumping araound like a crazy man.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607859Post Saint_J »

Kids coming on great to see what a grab... Paddy's a keeper!


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607864Post saintspremiers »

Saint_J wrote:Kids coming on great to see what a grab... Paddy's a keeper!
I would've wet and shat myself then cried with jubilation had that goal gone through and we won.

And possibly have bought a Paddy poster for my bedroom. Still might.

Almost lost my voice yelling "Paddy"!
Last edited by saintspremiers on Sat 16 Apr 2016 6:10pm, edited 1 time in total.


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607865Post MC Gusto »

The Fireman wrote:his big grab had me jumping araound like a crazy man.
Same! Was amazing - and he kicked it beautifully given the breeze - just unlucky


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Re: McCartin

Post: # 1607868Post Goose is king »

Yeah that grab had me off my seat


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