Assuming no injuries.
I think we can compare our Best 22 for 2010 Finals with our GF Team 22.
Changes with player rating in ( )
Out: King (4), Ball (6), Clarke (5), Dempster (4)
In: McEvoy (5), Steven (5), Gwilt (7), Peake (5)
That means a net gain of + 3 from 2009 GF. Which is a very slight 1-2% improvement out of 220).
So according to this formula we should once again be very evenly matched with the Cats.
Injuries will decide as will the X factors . IMO the X factors are in our favour for 2 reasons:
1. We haven't won a flag. Pain of losing one gives us added motivation.
2. The Ablett factor. If he is going to GC, it might start to effect morale at Kardina Park.
So an x factor in our favour of 3-4% gives us the 5% total net gain we need to win 2010 GF.
Thoughts?
p.s before i get howled down i reckon dempster is more than a 4 now. But he was only a 4 in 2009 due to injury etc.
09 V 10 Saints Best 22
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Con Gorozidis
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Luke Ball was close to our most important influential player in the grand final - considering the conditions suited him so well. I would have given him an 8 or 9 out of 10.
That said i do think we are in an equally good if not better position than last year, but more so to do with the orientation of the team as a whole, rather than the individuals performances of players. Gwilt's improvement has certainly helped out a lot, but other than that the team itself is much more cohesive and the game plan has been solidified to be more effective in any scenario
That said i do think we are in an equally good if not better position than last year, but more so to do with the orientation of the team as a whole, rather than the individuals performances of players. Gwilt's improvement has certainly helped out a lot, but other than that the team itself is much more cohesive and the game plan has been solidified to be more effective in any scenario
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Con Gorozidis
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I agree. Germany showing in the world cup that being a good cohesive team is more important than individual player ratings.d roit wrote:Luke Ball was close to our most important influential player in the grand final - considering the conditions suited him so well. I would have given him an 8 or 9 out of 10.
That said i do think we are in an equally good if not better position than last year, but more so to do with the orientation of the team as a whole, rather than the individuals performances of players. Gwilt's improvement has certainly helped out a lot, but other than that the team itself is much more cohesive and the game plan has been solidified to be more effective in any scenario
LB played well in the GF but his 2009 wasnt real flash so a 6 will do him. If jack can average a goal a game hell be a handy enough replacement for LB this year.