Beej wrote:To suggest that this game was just a "one off" or "not our night" is a simplistic view IMO.
We have problems that need to be addressed, and quick.
To suggest that a team that has had a 80/20 win/loss ratio over a run of almost 50 games has urgent problems is a bit of an overreaction, now, isn't it?
You see, I consider that the only serious "problem" that has emerged in recent weeks is the same one that has existed for at least 5 years: we are enormously dependent on our superstar player Nick Riewoldt.
With Riewoldt in the team, we have a list and a game plan which enables us to beat most other clubs. Without Riewoldt, we come quickly back to the field. He plays a critical dual role: he is both our main scoring option and our main escape valve coming out of defence when other teams man up or zone effectively.
This isn't the end of the world: from what I saw last night, Carlton are extraordinarily dependent on Judd. We all know that Fremantle need Pavlich at least as much as we need Riewoldt. The Dogs, Collingwood and Geelong have somewhat more even lists, but they have other areas of vulnerability.
Without Riewoldt, we have beaten the two teams currently on top of the table and also the Dogs, who almost beat us in a PF last year. So we aren't hopeless without Riewoldt, just significantly less effective.
Certainly, if Riewoldt doesn't make a successful return to footy this year, we are cactus for 2010.
But, as things stand, I expect us to lose another 5-7 of our remaining 15 games (one or both of our games against the Bombers and our games against Geelong, Freo away, Eagles away, Brisbane away and the Pies at the G). I expect us to win the rest.
This will leave us on up to 15 wins and more likely to be in the top 4 than not and therefore still a good chance for the flag.
BUT
It also means that there will be up to 7 more mornings like this one for us to endure.
So supporters like you and dozens of others on here are going to need to learn either to harden up, or to shut up.
"It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into."
- Jonathan Swift