WayneJudson42 wrote:Teflon wrote:To take Cousins or not is a question that really depends on where you see St Kilda'slist and a flag.
IMO we arent at the Carlton/Richmond stage - they are coming.
Hawks/Cats probably past us...Cats definatley...
Dogs I reckon we can compete with.
Syd/Adelaide - sliders
Collingwood - best to come
Nth - top 8. NOT gonna win a flag with that list
So where are we at?
Hudgton, Hayes, King, Gardiner are the "olds" and apart from Max 3 are still sub 30?
The top middle 24-26 core is:
Roo, Kos, Clarkes, Dal, Monti, Gram, Fish, Gilbert, Sneids, Goddard, Ball
With good kids (not superstars IMO) of Armo, Eddy, Geary, Miles, McEvoy
Point is we arent at bottom out stage but arent at top flag chance stage either as we have some major holes (see defense post Max).
Does adding Cousins put us into "we are still flag material" land (that HAS to be top 2 for me) and if not why go for him.
Thoughts?
I posted this on the other thread...
I think we are in the hunt over the next 3 years given the age of our top 6 players. Kids will take a while to develop. Play em too young and we could very make the same mistake we made in 04 and 05 and ruin there bodies.
On that basis, you'd expect maximum output from the kids (who actually make it - no guarantees) in 3 to 4 years time if developed correctly.
By that stage, our top 6 may be too old for a tilt. And risk becoming the next Loewew, Burke and Harvey... peaking at the wrong time of the cycle.
Alternatively, you say... oh well, let's rebuild and play kids starting next year. Then you have wasted careers of your top 6 and the potential they bring to the club.
Bottom line: We HAVE to take advantage of the core we currently have, whilst injecting youth like we have done this year. Also remember that Schneids and Dempster are still only 24'sh.
If BC is fit and ready... I'd have no hesitation, coz he would add depth over the next couple of years, when we will be primed for a tilt.
I have pasted alist of all the players who will be 25 or more at the Saints next year.
The list contains all of our "best" players as noted by the two posters above, with the exception on BJ (who is also thus just entering his best years).
So therefore our "best" players are in the main going to be at their peak over the next 3 or 4 years, with some coming out the other side.
Unfortunately the wave of players behind the above group does npot look to have any "stars" in it.
So therefore whether you believe our list is good enough to win a flag or not is one question. BUT it is pretty clear that with this list that our best, whatever it may be will be over the next 3 or 4 seasons. If we cannot snag one then, then we will most likely dip witha major rebuild required...all ata time of course when the two new clubs will have sucked upa large pool of the next-generational talent.
That is going to cause the club some serious thinking.....
* Do they try and boost the chances of us a winning a flag over the next three years, even if it perhaps hampers us in the 3 year period after that?
* Or do they stick 100% with youth and just hope that some will be stars??? but witha consequence of maybe just racking up 3-6 finishes?
With the players below at their age profile, if Cousins was available at a reasonable pick the Saints would probably take him. But was is reasonable. Pick 10 = no. Pick 26 would seem to costly...and pick 42 he may not be there..
With Kerr. Yes you would like to aquire him. But the cost!!! And without any early draft picks of our own, the cost would most likely mean losing players and so that may mean that we are just chasing our tails, giving up quality to gain quality.
I originally was not that keen on Kerr, or Cousins. But the more you look where our list is at...and when our best players would be at their best...the more it is tempting to actually try and improve the quality of the list over the next 3 seasons.
One or both players would compliment what we have very well.
Looking at what other players may be on the move one does not see the same quality or fit.
ie Warnook may be ok, but we do not really need him and his ability is unknown.
8 Hudghton, Max (V) 222 31yr 11mth 2 Sep 1976 191cm 93kg Northern Knights Defender
2 King, Steven 210 29yr 8mth 22 Nov 1978 201cm 104kg Murray Bushrangers Ruck
15 Gardiner, Michael S. 138 29yr 1mth 5 Jul 1979 199cm 103kg Claremont Ruck
7 Hayes, Lenny 187 28yr 7mth 14 Jan 1980 186cm 87kg Pennant Hills Midfield
44 Milne, Stephen 160 28yr 5mth 8 Mar 1980 178cm 82kg Dandenong Stingrays Forward
10 Baker, Steven 154 28yr 2mth 22 May 1980 181cm 85kg Geelong Falcons Midfield
29 Rix, Michael 29 27yr 7mth 8 Jan 1981 198cm 101kg Coburg Ruck
27 Blake, Jason 131 27yr 5mth 15 Mar 1981 191cm 88kg Beaumaris Defender
Midfield
17 Fiora, Aaron 139 27yr 4mth 19 Apr 1981 186cm 77kg Port Adelaide Midfield
25 Fisher, Sam 91 26yr 1mth 10 Jul 1982 192cm 92kg West Adelaide Defender
23 Koschitzke, Justin 114 25yr 11mth 20 Sep 1982 197cm 98kg Murray Bushrangers Forward
Ruck
12 Riewoldt, Nick 153 25yr 10mth 17 Oct 1982 196cm 95kg Southport Forward
28 Gardiner, Charlie 60 25yr 5mth 1 Mar 1983 190cm 90kg Geelong Falcons Forward
22 Birss, Shane 69 25yr 5mth 11 Mar 1983 183cm 80kg Gippsland Power Midfield
3 Clarke, Xavier 104 24yr 10mth 28 Sep 1983 182cm 78kg St Marys Midfield
11 Montagna, Leigh 93 24yr 9mth 2 Nov 1983 178cm 78kg Northern Knights Midfield
24 Dempster, Sean 71 24yr 7mth 20 Jan 1984 192cm 88kg Gippsland Power Defender
38 Jones, Clinton 21 24yr 6mth 2 Feb 1984 183cm 85kg South Fremantle Midfield
26 Dal Santo, Nick 139 24yr 5mth 22 Feb 1984 186cm 86kg Bendigo Pioneers Midfield
6 Fisher, Leigh 55 24yr 4mth 19 Apr 1984 188cm 92kg Mentone Grammar Defender
Midfield
1 Gram, Jason 72 24yr 3mth 27 Apr 1984 186cm 87kg Gippsland Power Defender
13 Schneider, Adam 112 24yr 3mth 12 May 1984 179cm 77kg Osborne Forward
14 Ball, Luke 122 24yr 2mth 25 May 1984 184cm 83kg Sandringham Dragons Midfield
31 Maguire, Matthew 99 24yr 2mth 30 May 1984 190cm 94kg Geelong Falcons Defender
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