Pass mark for 2024

This unofficial St Kilda Saints fan forum is for people of all ages to chat Saints Footy and all posts must be respectful.

Moderators: Saintsational Administrators, Saintsational Moderators

Post Reply
User avatar
Otiman
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 8782
Joined: Thu 28 Jul 2005 11:09pm
Location: Elsewhere
Has thanked: 203 times
Been thanked: 662 times

Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031571Post Otiman »

Interesting to revisit this after the trades, draft and preseason but what would everyone say is a pass mark for 2024 after the year we've had in 2023, where clearly the selection decisions were being made for 2024 and beyond.

For me it's fighting for top 4, within a game at the end of the season. 15-16 wins.


B.M
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 12763
Joined: Thu 04 Jul 2019 8:53pm
Has thanked: 5 times
Been thanked: 2719 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031595Post B.M »

We’ll go backwards imo


Trev from the Bush
SS Life Member
Posts: 2841
Joined: Fri 23 Sep 2011 4:24pm
Location: Australia
Has thanked: 774 times
Been thanked: 871 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031600Post Trev from the Bush »

B.M wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 8:56pm We’ll go backwards imo
Of course. What else could we expect from your opinion.


Saint supporter since '62
User avatar
SaintPav
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 19160
Joined: Wed 16 Jun 2010 9:24pm
Location: Alma Road
Has thanked: 1609 times
Been thanked: 2031 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031602Post SaintPav »

14 wins

Last week’s performance doesn’t look too bad now..


Holder of unacceptable views and other thought crimes.
User avatar
The_Dud
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 14060
Joined: Sun 27 May 2007 9:53pm
Location: Bendigo
Has thanked: 1315 times
Been thanked: 2093 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031603Post The_Dud »

Win a final.

With natural improvement from youngsters and hopefully getting King on the park more, we should be better.

Though we will have a tougher draw next year.


All posters are equal, but some posters are more equal than others.
User avatar
magnifisaint
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 8190
Joined: Sun 02 May 2004 2:52am
Has thanked: 231 times
Been thanked: 630 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031606Post magnifisaint »

B.M wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 8:56pm We’ll go backwards imo
Mr Positive!


In Springfield, they're eating the dogs. The people that came in, they're eating the cats. They’re eating – they are eating the pets of the people that live there.
Vortex
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 6473
Joined: Fri 18 Sep 2020 6:51am
Has thanked: 862 times
Been thanked: 1025 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031611Post Vortex »

Otiman wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 6:07pm Interesting to revisit this after the trades, draft and preseason but what would everyone say is a pass mark for 2024 after the year we've had in 2023, where clearly the selection decisions were being made for 2024 and beyond.

For me it's fighting for top 4, within a game at the end of the season. 15-16 wins.
I think it's fairly obvious we are still a fair bit off the pace with regards to being capable of pushing into the top 4.

If we make finals again and maybe even win a final then that would be a pass mark but I think next year we will struggle while Lyon rebuilds the list.


Teflon
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 23247
Joined: Sat 13 Mar 2004 11:44pm
Has thanked: 741 times
Been thanked: 1800 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031612Post Teflon »

B.M wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 8:56pm We’ll go backwards imo
I actually agree
Geezus people saying we will be too 4 challenging????
Where’s the Bont in the midfield coming from???
Sorry we will trade out sone experience (who aren’t good enough and won’t take us there) , bring in sone (hopefully) more talented kids with a higher ceiling, load up for the 2 years following imo
Lyons already said - it’s not a 1 year list revamp
We probably need to go backwards to get that top 10 DP talent we sorely need and go forwards
We can then use the war chest on a big FA year 2
North stockpiling it …they will come
Hawks have
I’m ok with that strategy as long as we pick well and it’s a list that enables us to challenge for more than 1 year… build a dynasty ….we deserve it
Guys like Dow will be an upgrade on Bytels etc so that’s good
Henry to Wing Hill back to Hf takes care of Billing’s


“Yeah….nah””
cwrcyn
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 4344
Joined: Fri 15 Sep 2006 10:35am
Location: earth
Has thanked: 1 time
Been thanked: 1467 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031615Post cwrcyn »

Hard to predict. Between positions 6 and 16 on the ladder, every team could mount a case to say they'll play finals in 2024. We now have the most even competition since the AFL came into existence and the draw, along with njuries will determine the fate of many teams.

If our midfield doesn't improve, we could easily be leapfrogged by four or five other teams. Steele should have a much better 2024, so that will help, and Ryan and Dow (assuming he comes) will need to add something positive to the mix. Our younger guys should incrementally improve, too.

Supporters from every team could find similar reasons as why their club will improve, so there's nothing earth shattering that's changed at this stage to say we should finish higher than we did this year.

My guess is we scrape into the 8 next year or just miss out depending on injuries.


mr six o'clock
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 4327
Joined: Fri 17 Nov 2006 1:05am
Has thanked: 56 times
Been thanked: 245 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031619Post mr six o'clock »

Teflon wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 10:04pm
B.M wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 8:56pm We’ll go backwards imo
I actually agree
Geezus people saying we will be too 4 challenging????
Where’s the Bont in the midfield coming from???
Sorry we will trade out sone experience (who aren’t good enough and won’t take us there) , bring in sone (hopefully) more talented kids with a higher ceiling, load up for the 2 years following imo
Lyons already said - it’s not a 1 year list revamp
We probably need to go backwards to get that top 10 DP talent we sorely need and go forwards
We can then use the war chest on a big FA year 2
North stockpiling it …they will come
Hawks have
I’m ok with that strategy as long as we pick well and it’s a list that enables us to challenge for more than 1 year… build a dynasty ….we deserve it
Guys like Dow will be an upgrade on Bytels etc so that’s good
Henry to Wing Hill back to Hf takes care of Billing’s
yep
these are good points
add the crows were the best side outside the eight , poor goal kicking hurt them , fix that their in.
watched the suns reserves make the GF today, there's a team next that's packed with talent , if Hardwick can get them to preform look out .
The giants have under preformed for years , but are loaded with talent , suddenly things have clicked and they're looking really good .
We're going to need improvement in our game next year equal to this year just to be a chance of playing finals in 2024.


In red white and black from 73
User avatar
SaintPav
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 19160
Joined: Wed 16 Jun 2010 9:24pm
Location: Alma Road
Has thanked: 1609 times
Been thanked: 2031 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031620Post SaintPav »

Not top 4 but still competing for finals. 5-10 only because of the way Lyon’s teams are coached.

These players have more upside and potential improvement will come from:

Windhager
Philippou
Owens
NWM
Stocker
Battle

Players like Clark and Coffield live up to their potential.

New recruits like Liam Henry etc plus a surprise packet like Horton, Keeler and our early DP.

Hopefully Steele and King stay injury free.


Holder of unacceptable views and other thought crimes.
Sainternist
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 11354
Joined: Thu 11 Mar 2004 12:57am
Location: South of Heaven
Has thanked: 1349 times
Been thanked: 462 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031621Post Sainternist »

Too soon to call. Will be waiting until at least by the time the draft is done and dusted before making any forecasts.


Curb your enthusiasm - you’re a St.Kilda supporter!!
Image
User avatar
desertsaint
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 10431
Joined: Sun 27 Apr 2008 2:02pm
Location: out there
Has thanked: 190 times
Been thanked: 713 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031623Post desertsaint »

B.M wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 8:56pm We’ll go backwards imo
i honestly thought you'd cheer up after mr squiggle retired and stopped drawing on you.


"The starting point of all achievement is desire. "
wally
Club Player
Posts: 826
Joined: Fri 16 Sep 2011 8:23am
Location: brisy
Has thanked: 5 times
Been thanked: 103 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031655Post wally »

I’d be happy with the same as this year.
Competitive in all games I think the only flogging was the Adelaide game.
Recruit a couple more goood players
I’d like to see us easily beat the teams we should NM & W C this year)
Don’t think we know who our best 23 are yet.
yes some others will improve also so nothing is a given


User avatar
Sainter_Dad
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 6346
Joined: Thu 05 Jun 2008 1:04pm
Has thanked: 263 times
Been thanked: 1128 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031657Post Sainter_Dad »

The_Dud wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 9:44pm Win a final.

With natural improvement from youngsters and hopefully getting King on the park more, we should be better.

Though we will have a tougher draw next year.
Why will we have a tougher draw - last year we finished 10th - this year 7th - so still in the same bracket.

The Brackets are:
1 - 6
7 - 12
13 - 18

And with the natural changes in strengths/weaknesses it is impossible to determine easy/hard draws


“Youth ages, immaturity is outgrown, ignorance can be educated, and drunkenness sobered, but stupid lasts forever.”

― Aristophanes

If you have a Bee in your Bonnet - I can assist you with that - but it WILL involve some smacking upside the head!
SaintWiki
Club Player
Posts: 549
Joined: Sun 07 Jan 2007 4:18pm
Location: Derby, West Kimberley WA
Has thanked: 827 times
Been thanked: 161 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031659Post SaintWiki »

Vortex wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 10:01pm
Otiman wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 6:07pm Interesting to revisit this after the trades, draft and preseason but what would everyone say is a pass mark for 2024 after the year we've had in 2023, where clearly the selection decisions were being made for 2024 and beyond.

For me it's fighting for top 4, within a game at the end of the season. 15-16 wins.
I think it's fairly obvious we are still a fair bit off the pace with regards to being capable of pushing into the top 4.

If we make finals again and maybe even win a final then that would be a pass mark but I think next year we will struggle while Lyon rebuilds the list.
Yep


User avatar
Otiman
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 8782
Joined: Thu 28 Jul 2005 11:09pm
Location: Elsewhere
Has thanked: 203 times
Been thanked: 662 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031660Post Otiman »

Sainternist wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 10:39pm Too soon to call. Will be waiting until at least by the time the draft is done and dusted before making any forecasts.
That's why I am asking now. And is the expectation now different from Round 1?

I believe we will make significant changes but actually improve.


spert
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 9153
Joined: Wed 29 Jun 2005 10:39pm
Location: A distant beach
Has thanked: 1 time
Been thanked: 438 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031662Post spert »

A rejig of the midfield will not happen overnight, and it's our big weakness. I want the Saints to win a flag next season, but in reality, I have a horrible feeling that CG and possibly the Hawks might jump over us in 2024.


User avatar
Sainter_Dad
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 6346
Joined: Thu 05 Jun 2008 1:04pm
Has thanked: 263 times
Been thanked: 1128 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031663Post Sainter_Dad »

spert wrote: Sun 17 Sep 2023 9:43am A rejig of the midfield will not happen overnight, and it's our big weakness. I want the Saints to win a flag next season, but in reality, I have a horrible feeling that CG and possibly the Hawks might jump over us in 2024.
CG as in Cold Ghost - or GC as in Gold Coast?


“Youth ages, immaturity is outgrown, ignorance can be educated, and drunkenness sobered, but stupid lasts forever.”

― Aristophanes

If you have a Bee in your Bonnet - I can assist you with that - but it WILL involve some smacking upside the head!
User avatar
The_Dud
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 14060
Joined: Sun 27 May 2007 9:53pm
Location: Bendigo
Has thanked: 1315 times
Been thanked: 2093 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031667Post The_Dud »

Sainter_Dad wrote: Sun 17 Sep 2023 8:49am
The_Dud wrote: Sat 16 Sep 2023 9:44pm Win a final.

With natural improvement from youngsters and hopefully getting King on the park more, we should be better.

Though we will have a tougher draw next year.
Why will we have a tougher draw - last year we finished 10th - this year 7th - so still in the same bracket.

The Brackets are:
1 - 6
7 - 12
13 - 18

And with the natural changes in strengths/weaknesses it is impossible to determine easy/hard draws
We had one of the easiest, if not the easiest, draw in the comp.

We played the teams that finished top 8 nine times, and teams that finished bottom 4 seven times.

I doubt we’ll be that fortunate again.


All posters are equal, but some posters are more equal than others.
Sainternist
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 11354
Joined: Thu 11 Mar 2004 12:57am
Location: South of Heaven
Has thanked: 1349 times
Been thanked: 462 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031668Post Sainternist »

Otiman wrote: Sun 17 Sep 2023 9:28am And is the expectation now different from Round 1?
It can. Which is why I’m reserving judgement for now.


Curb your enthusiasm - you’re a St.Kilda supporter!!
Image
B.M
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 12763
Joined: Thu 04 Jul 2019 8:53pm
Has thanked: 5 times
Been thanked: 2719 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031679Post B.M »

I don’t see it as a bad thing if we drop down for a season

We are going to lose quite a few players either from the starting team or depth

We are hitting the draft

So imo we will drop down for a season

I bet we are projected by the experts to miss the 8 next season!


aaron82
Club Player
Posts: 172
Joined: Fri 16 Sep 2011 2:03pm
Has thanked: 1 time
Been thanked: 50 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031700Post aaron82 »

Agreed on the sentiment we’ll drop out of the 8 next season. We need to build a side that can consistently play off at pointy end. The sides playing off in the preliminary finals have midfield stars & all have top end draft picks in their midfield.

We are paying the price for horrible recruiting around 2013-15. As much as I like Brad Hill, the trade of multiple picks with Acres on top was horrendous.

The strategy to hit the draft is correct & exiting out experienced players will mean some hopefully short term pain as the 18-21 year olds (Nas, Pou, Mitchito, Caminiti & Windi) are all quality. Hotton, Van Es & Keeler hopefully will join that crew.

We don’t have a Bont, Walsh, Josh Kelly, Nick Daicos type who is elite in the midfield currently.


and that's the bottom line
User avatar
D.B.Cooper
SS Hall of Fame
Posts: 2211
Joined: Sun 24 Oct 2021 5:50pm
Has thanked: 793 times
Been thanked: 755 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031703Post D.B.Cooper »

Where does the improvement come from to maintain our finals position?

Hopefully King plays more games.
Camaniti, Phillipou, Owens & Windhager continue to develop.

Billings, Coffield, Jones string games together and contribute.

Henry and a free agent midfielder?

Steele has an uninterrupted season.

Although we had a lot of early injuries, our best 3 players played every game, and MOST of our top ten excluding King played the majority.

When you sit in the 6-12 bracket like we do you need a good draw, few injuries and the team fully buying into the game style and if we have this I think we can play finals again.

I think we are a long way short of top 4.

Always conscious of expectations around young players and overrating them.


There's only one rule in the jungle! When the LYON's hungry, he eats!
spert
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 9153
Joined: Wed 29 Jun 2005 10:39pm
Location: A distant beach
Has thanked: 1 time
Been thanked: 438 times

Re: Pass mark for 2024

Post: # 2031705Post spert »

Sainter_Dad wrote: Sun 17 Sep 2023 9:49am
spert wrote: Sun 17 Sep 2023 9:43am A rejig of the midfield will not happen overnight, and it's our big weakness. I want the Saints to win a flag next season, but in reality, I have a horrible feeling that CG and possibly the Hawks might jump over us in 2024.
CG as in Cold Ghost - or GC as in Gold Coast?
The Suns :lol: :lol:


Post Reply