The Ben Long Deal

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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982701Post bangaulegend »

Typical St.Kilda we recruit him at pick 22 put 5 years of hard yards into him & just as we start to see some reward we trade him out at pick 32 + a fourth round pick 😕


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982704Post CURLY »

bangaulegend wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:24pm Typical St.Kilda we recruit him at pick 22 put 5 years of hard yards into him & just as we start to see some reward we trade him out at pick 32 + a fourth round pick 😕
25 in a compromised draft and he was older than the standard draftee.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982705Post CURLY »

bangaulegend wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:24pm Typical St.Kilda we recruit him at pick 22 put 5 years of hard yards into him & just as we start to see some reward we trade him out at pick 32 + a fourth round pick 😕
25 in a compromised draft and he was older than the standard draftee.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982706Post magnifisaint »

It's a fair deal. He wasn't that great.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982709Post Brunswicksainter »

Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:35pm
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:28pm Wow. Can’t help but feel we got dicked in this deal. Pick 32 is essentially a worthless pick.
Not worthless at all,

But would be good to bundle up with a future second for another first rounder?
30 years of data would suggest there is no correlation with picks after 24 in the draft and delayed success. That is to say the historic value of picks 25-58 are discernible.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982710Post Brunswicksainter »

Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:41pm
Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:35pm
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:28pm Wow. Can’t help but feel we got dicked in this deal. Pick 32 is essentially a worthless pick.
Not worthless at all,

But would be good to bundle up with a future second for another first rounder?
30 years of data would suggest there is no correlation with picks after 24 in the draft and delayed success. That is to say the historic value of picks 25-58 are discernible.
In other words, pick 32 is historically close to worthless


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982724Post Trev from the Bush »

bangaulegend wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:24pm Typical St.Kilda we recruit him at pick 22 put 5 years of hard yards into him & just as we start to see some reward we trade him out at pick 32 + a fourth round pick 😕
That would be a fair comment except you have overlooked the 70+ senior games he has played for us. You speak as if the club has given away an untried draftee. A second round draft pick is a good outcome, getting next year's 4th round pick as well - bonus!


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982726Post bangaulegend »

Trev from the Bush wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 9:29pm
bangaulegend wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:24pm Typical St.Kilda we recruit him at pick 22 put 5 years of hard yards into him & just as we start to see some reward we trade him out at pick 32 + a fourth round pick 😕
That would be a fair comment except you have overlooked the 70+ senior games he has played for us. You speak as if the club has given away an untried draftee. A second round draft pick is a good outcome, getting next year's 4th round pick as well - bonus!
Aren't we giving them the 4 rounder & Long for 32 :? Maybe I'm wrong not the first time :wink:


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982728Post SydneySainter »

magnifisaint wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:36pm It's a fair deal. He wasn't that great.
No, we’re the losers in that deal. GC rate him enough to offer him an A-list salary.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982731Post Banger9798 »

He'll be good for GC now he is fit.
I reckon they got a bit of a bargain.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982734Post ace »

Saints get pick 32 worth 584 points but give up 2023 4th round pick 67 worth 69 points at present.
So 584 - 69 = 515 points that's between pick 35 and 36.
PIck 69 could end up as a throw away so I like moving up the draft order a few places to 32.
But with father-son picks in play it is hard to say where this pick will finish but at least we don't have academy queue jumping disrupting the order until after pick 40.
Saints pick 9 will be pick 10 when Brisbane claims Ashcroft from saints backyard Sandringham.

Ben long gone.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982735Post skeptic »

bangaulegend wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 9:42pm
Trev from the Bush wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 9:29pm
bangaulegend wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:24pm Typical St.Kilda we recruit him at pick 22 put 5 years of hard yards into him & just as we start to see some reward we trade him out at pick 32 + a fourth round pick 😕
That would be a fair comment except you have overlooked the 70+ senior games he has played for us. You speak as if the club has given away an untried draftee. A second round draft pick is a good outcome, getting next year's 4th round pick as well - bonus!
Aren't we giving them the 4 rounder & Long for 32 :? Maybe I'm wrong not the first time :wink:
That was my read


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982737Post magnifisaint »

Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 10:26pm He'll be good for GC now he is fit.
I reckon they got a bit of a bargain.
Why couldn't he get fit at St Kilda?


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982738Post The Fireman »

magnifisaint wrote: Thu 06 Oct 2022 12:05am
Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 10:26pm He'll be good for GC now he is fit.
I reckon they got a bit of a bargain.
Why couldn't he get fit at St Kilda?
we are going to regret this...im pissed off


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982739Post mad saint guy »

Excellent result. 2nd round pick for a depth utility who wasn't best 22.

Good luck Ben, and here's hoping Libba can do something good with pick 32.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982741Post Sainternist »

Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:41pm
Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:35pm
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:28pm Wow. Can’t help but feel we got dicked in this deal. Pick 32 is essentially a worthless pick.
Not worthless at all,

But would be good to bundle up with a future second for another first rounder?
30 years of data would suggest there is no correlation with picks after 24 in the draft and delayed success. That is to say the historic value of picks 25-58 are discernible.
Didn’t Fyfe go as a pick in the 30s? That is only one example off the top of my head. I am keen to find other examples of second round picks becoming champion players.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982742Post Sainternist »

The Fireman wrote: Thu 06 Oct 2022 12:08am
magnifisaint wrote: Thu 06 Oct 2022 12:05am
Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 10:26pm He'll be good for GC now he is fit.
I reckon they got a bit of a bargain.
Why couldn't he get fit at St Kilda?
we are going to regret this...im pissed off
The only way we could have kept him was to offer him over $600K. How do you justify that?


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982746Post Banger9798 »

Sainternist wrote: Thu 06 Oct 2022 2:21am
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:41pm
Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:35pm
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:28pm Wow. Can’t help but feel we got dicked in this deal. Pick 32 is essentially a worthless pick.
Not worthless at all,

But would be good to bundle up with a future second for another first rounder?
30 years of data would suggest there is no correlation with picks after 24 in the draft and delayed success. That is to say the historic value of picks 25-58 are discernible.
Didn’t Fyfe go as a pick in the 30s? That is only one example off the top of my head. I am keen to find other examples of second round picks becoming champion players.
Monty


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982747Post Sainternist »

Banger9798 wrote: Thu 06 Oct 2022 4:27am
Sainternist wrote: Thu 06 Oct 2022 2:21am
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:41pm
Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:35pm
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:28pm Wow. Can’t help but feel we got dicked in this deal. Pick 32 is essentially a worthless pick.
Not worthless at all,

But would be good to bundle up with a future second for another first rounder?
30 years of data would suggest there is no correlation with picks after 24 in the draft and delayed success. That is to say the historic value of picks 25-58 are discernible.
Didn’t Fyfe go as a pick in the 30s? That is only one example off the top of my head. I am keen to find other examples of second round picks becoming champion players.
Monty
Yeah, Joey went in the late 30s from memory. Also, Jack at pick 42 and I think James Gwilt may have come via a pick as high as around 70.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982749Post Scollop »

Sainternist wrote: Thu 06 Oct 2022 2:21am
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:41pm
Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:35pm
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:28pm Wow. Can’t help but feel we got dicked in this deal. Pick 32 is essentially a worthless pick.
Not worthless at all,

But would be good to bundle up with a future second for another first rounder?
30 years of data would suggest there is no correlation with picks after 24 in the draft and delayed success. That is to say the historic value of picks 25-58 are discernible.
Didn’t Fyfe go as a pick in the 30s? That is only one example off the top of my head. I am keen to find other examples of second round picks becoming champion players.
Luke Parker. Went at pick 40. AA in 2016 and runner up to Danger in the Brownlow that year

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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982753Post kosifantutti »

Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:42pm
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:41pm
Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:35pm
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:28pm Wow. Can’t help but feel we got dicked in this deal. Pick 32 is essentially a worthless pick.
Not worthless at all,

But would be good to bundle up with a future second for another first rounder?
30 years of data would suggest there is no correlation with picks after 24 in the draft and delayed success. That is to say the historic value of picks 25-58 are discernible.
In other words, pick 32 is historically close to worthless
Top thee in the Brownlow this year:
Pick 13
Pick 58
Pick 29


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982757Post B.M »

Fyfe was pick 19 in 2009


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982758Post Beno88 »

Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:42pm
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 8:41pm
Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:35pm
Brunswicksainter wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 6:28pm Wow. Can’t help but feel we got dicked in this deal. Pick 32 is essentially a worthless pick.
Not worthless at all,

But would be good to bundle up with a future second for another first rounder?
30 years of data would suggest there is no correlation with picks after 24 in the draft and delayed success. That is to say the historic value of picks 25-58 are discernible.
In other words, pick 32 is historically close to worthless
Short memories around here.

Mitch Owens - Pick 33
Marcus Windhager - Pick 47


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982776Post magnifisaint »

Sainternist wrote: Thu 06 Oct 2022 2:23am
The Fireman wrote: Thu 06 Oct 2022 12:08am
magnifisaint wrote: Thu 06 Oct 2022 12:05am
Banger9798 wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 10:26pm He'll be good for GC now he is fit.
I reckon they got a bit of a bargain.
Why couldn't he get fit at St Kilda?
we are going to regret this...im pissed off
The only way we could have kept him was to offer him over $600K. How do you justify that?
You can't. He's only worth half that. A lot of delusional people on here.


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Re: The Ben Long Deal

Post: # 1982783Post Sanctorum »

ace wrote: Wed 05 Oct 2022 11:31pm Saints get pick 32 worth 584 points but give up 2023 4th round pick 67 worth 69 points at present.
So 584 - 69 = 515 points that's between pick 35 and 36.
PIck 69 could end up as a throw away so I like moving up the draft order a few places to 32.
But with father-son picks in play it is hard to say where this pick will finish but at least we don't have academy queue jumping disrupting the order until after pick 40.
Saints pick 9 will be pick 10 when Brisbane claims Ashcroft from saints backyard Sandringham.

Ben long gone.
That's about right ace, confirmed on Draftguru that St Kilda was paid well above the market rate for Ben Long, yet another smart deal by Gallagher:

https://www.draftguru.com.au/trades/2022-ben-long

I liked Long but he never ever strung together a number of consistent games of above average quality, in fact played by far his best game ever in Round 23, which is not good enough, remains to be seen if he can elevate his performance for the Suns.

Conversely there's every chance the club will pick up a quality youngster at pick 32 that could improve the list.


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