Forumites IQ test: who will win this week?

[shanegrambeau]

Sydney/Melbourne
Bulldogs/Freo
Bris / Rich
Geel / Coll

I reckon

Melbourne, Bullies, Rich, Coll

What do you think?

[skeptic]

Melbourne
Freo
Rich
Geel

[Impatient Sainter]

Melbourne
Fremantle
Richmond
Geelong

[Trev from the Bush]

IDGAF

Roll on 2023

[Stian]

IDGAF

Roll on 2023

Eloquent and to the point - I couldn't have said it better. Kudos, Trev.

[Toy Saint]

NFI and IDGAF

[The Fireman]

Plus 1

[Banger9798]

Melbourne
Freo
Rich
Geel

+1

[Yorkeys]

Sports bet. Certainties.
I think 3 of the favourites are under the odds. Melbourne look a fair price but Richmond at the Gabba can't be so short?
And I don't reckon the analysts have factored in Beveridge's coaching genius and Dogs experience playing at Optus.
Might go a few bucks Lions all up Dogs.

Yours, in debt, mug punter

[shanegrambeau]

Sports bet. Certainties.
I think 3 of the favourites are under the odds. Melbourne look a fair price but Richmond at the Gabba can't be so short?
And I don't reckon the analysts have factored in Beveridge's coaching genius and Dogs experience playing at Optus.
Might go a few bucks Lions all up Dogs.

Yours, in debt, mug punter

So what are the odds for Rich Bris?

Well I suspected no one would tip the Pies, given their streaky wins against lowly sides and incredible luck they have ridden - it must be said - very well.

But Geelong our September chumps? No?
Yeah I guess I know better..Geelong are looking strong this year. I will watch at least two of the games if not all of them.

[Scollop]

Sports bet. Certainties.
I think 3 of the favourites are under the odds. Melbourne look a fair price but Richmond at the Gabba can't be so short?
And I don't reckon the analysts have factored in Beveridge's coaching genius and Dogs experience playing at Optus.
Might go a few bucks Lions all up Dogs.

Yours, in debt, mug punter

I'm with you.

Melb
Brisb
Bulldogs
Coll

Bank on it. Bookmark it. Mortgage your house and go all in

[PADDLEPOP1001]

Sydney
Geelong
Tiges
Freo

[older saint]

Rich
Melb
Geelong
Freo

[shanegrambeau]

Rich
Melb
Geelong
Freo

Damn
And we beat three of those teams!

[Devilhead]

12 of our games were against Top 8 teams .... our other 10 games were against sides out of the 8

Hopefully we get a better fixture draw next year

[Life Long Saint]

And I don't reckon the analysts have factored in Beveridge's coaching genius and Dogs experience playing at Optus.

Freo's only encounter against the Dogs this season was round 21 at Marvel. Freo won by 17 and led pretty much all night.
Freos' home record this season is also pretty good. Losing only three to us, Collingwood, and Melbourne.
Their record against top 8 teams is 4.5-3.5
I'd prefer them at home to beat the Dogs whose form this season has not been consistent.
The Dogs record against top 8 teams is 2-7.

[Yorkeys]

And I don't reckon the analysts have factored in Beveridge's coaching genius and Dogs experience playing at Optus.

Freo's only encounter against the Dogs this season was round 21 at Marvel. Freo won by 17 and led pretty much all night.
Freos' home record this season is also pretty good. Losing only three to us, Collingwood, and Melbourne.
Their record against top 8 teams is 4.5-3.5
I'd prefer them at home to beat the Dogs whose form this season has not been consistent.
The Dogs record against top 8 teams is 2-7.

Yes, bookies agree & logic is impeccable.
Just that finals are different, doggies have been building, they have a few match winners, finals experience and unfinished business at Optus, plus a mad genius coach. As a mug punter, well Dogs might just do it.
I am not betting much though.

[SinCitySainter]

All the home teams this week.

[shanegrambeau]

And I don't reckon the analysts have factored in Beveridge's coaching genius and Dogs experience playing at Optus.

Freo's only encounter against the Dogs this season was round 21 at Marvel. Freo won by 17 and led pretty much all night.
Freos' home record this season is also pretty good. Losing only three to us, Collingwood, and Melbourne.
Their record against top 8 teams is 4.5-3.5
I'd prefer them at home to beat the Dogs whose form this season has not been consistent.
The Dogs record against top 8 teams is 2-7.

That’s a pretty good argument. Got me thinking. I wonder (Samurai where r u?) how many of these late home and away fixture results get flipped when it comes to finals? eg.Team A beats Team B in Round 21, then loses against the same team in an early finals fixture?

[thejiggingsaint]

Richmond
Sydney
Collingwood
Fremantle

[MCG-Unit]

Brisbane Lions v Richmond
Melbourne v Swans
Geelong v Collingwood
Dockers v Western B

[shanegrambeau]

To make the IQ game more fun, I reckon we should have 10 "confidence points" to spend across the four games to show how much confidence we have in each prediction.
Winner (and thusly highest IQ on Saintsational) has the highest total points.
Rule: must spend at least one point on each game.


OK
I'll say...

4 Melbourne (Sydney)
3 Richmond (Brissy)
2 Bullies (Freo)
1 Collingwood (Geelong)

[Yorkeys]

7 Dees
1 BNE
1 WBdogs
1 Geelong

[shanegrambeau]

7 Dees
1 BNE
1 WBdogs
1 Geelong

ILl have to apply a better formula ...haha ...same result duh..someone with half a brain pleas help..

[Scollop]

Nat Fyfe ruled out with a hammie

He played well against St Kilda, but I don’t think they’ll miss him that much

He hasn’t been part of the team the last few weeks.

What his omission does, is that it gives the Bulldogs less headaches and more confidence imo