Wayne42 wrote: ↑Sat 16 Oct 2021 12:20am
Maybe they should be trying to trade next years future 2nd for Collingwood's 2021 pick 27, the Pies will lose that pick on Daicos.
I haven't done the maths to see if that would burn them for this year but footy experts were saying the Pies should trade it.
If that won't work then i'm sure Gags has a cunning plan.
Pick 27 provides Collingwood with 703 points, they will need that and heaps more from later picks if Daicos is called in the top 4.
So if clubs pass on Daicos knowing that his contract with Collingwood is already agreed then Collingwood would not need pick 27.
It would be consumed in obtaining Daicos leaving them with late picks they don't want.
Far better to trade it for a future 2nd round pick and let the points for Daicos come from multiple late picks instead.
Here's the math
Collingwood has picks 27, 36, 46, 48, 55, 58, 78, 79
Those are worth points 703, 502, 331, 302, 207, 170, 0, 0
Daicos called at pick 1 Collingwood needs 2,400 points,they only have 2215 points so they need to strip 185 points from their 2022 first round pick .
Daicos called at pick 2 Collingwood needs 2,014 points, they have 1838 points from picks 27, 36, 46, 48, the remaining 176 points will come from pick 55 but the remainder of 31 points will move pick 55 back to pick 71.
Daicos called at pick 3 Collingwood needs 1,788 points, they have 1536 points from picks 27, 36, 46, the remaining 252 points will come from pick 48 but the remainder of 50 points will move pick 48 back to pick 69.
Daicos called at pick 4, Collingwood needs 1,628 points, they have 1536 points from picks 27, 36, 46, the remaining 92 points will come from pick 48 but the remainder of 210 points will move pick 48 back to pick 55.
If Daicos has not been called at pick 4 Collingwood would only need 1503 points at pick 5.
Collingwood trades away pick 27
Collingwood has then uses pick 36, 46, 48, 55, 58 worth 1,512 points so pick 58 has a remainder of 9 points so moves to pick 74.
If Darcy is called ahead of Daicos then the points on each pick used by Collingwood change.
One thing is sure, Collingwood will have done the math on every combination and know what to do at the appropriate time.
It's called due diligence.
It is worth remembering that the queue jumping for Daicos and Darcy will push pick 27 back to pick 29 worth 653 points.
So St Kilda trades 2022 2nd round for pick 27 that becomes 29.
St Kilda could use those points to match an NGA pick in the 20s (with 197 points discount)
If no NGA matching required in the 20s then St Kilda would use the pick for a non NGA player.
Once pick 40 has been announced i would hope St Kilda will be trying to trade away any picks of any points value as NGA players then only require "next available pick" to match.
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