Melbourne watch

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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868960Post SaintPav »

Teflon wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:43pm So we want a demons win by say 10 points or less?
That means IF we lose next week and don’t get trounced for Melb to overtake us they’d need to pump dons by a lot??
That happens most likely we play West Coat in Perth in an EF.

We win and we probably play the Bulldogs at the Gabba.


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868961Post bangaulegend »

Goose is king wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:36pm Yeah. Can’t barrack for Melbourne. It’s not possible
No mate no Saint supporter would but if they win by a few points it will suit us better than if they lose :wink:


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868962Post chook23 »

SaintPav wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:53pm
Teflon wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:43pm So we want a demons win by say 10 points or less?
That means IF we lose next week and don’t get trounced for Melb to overtake us they’d need to pump dons by a lot??
That happens most likely we play West Coat in Perth in an EF.

We win and we probably play the Bulldogs at the Gabba.
Not sure there will be a game in Perth...

I am sure I heard WC may play home final in Adelaide because of quarantine in WA.

Teams can fly in and out of Adelaide.


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868963Post SaintPav »

chook23 wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 10:00pm
SaintPav wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:53pm
Teflon wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:43pm So we want a demons win by say 10 points or less?
That means IF we lose next week and don’t get trounced for Melb to overtake us they’d need to pump dons by a lot??
That happens most likely we play West Coat in Perth in an EF.

We win and we probably play the Bulldogs at the Gabba.
Not sure there will be a game in Perth...

I am sure I heard WC may play home final in Adelaide because of quarantine in WA.

Teams can fly in and out of Adelaide.
Interesting. Thanks.


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868966Post ace »

SaintPav wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:13pm
The_Dud wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:02pm We beat GWS we make finalS, we lose and we won’t. That’s what it all boils down to.
It's mathematically possible that we can still make it even if we lose.

A win next week would make it a certainty though.
If we lose to GWS
AND Melbourne beat GWS we can still finish ahead of Melbourne on percentage.
OR Melbourne lose to Essendon
But if Melbourne lose they can't finish ahead of us.

If we lose to GWS and Bulldogs lose to either Hawthorn or Fremantle we can still finish ahead of the Dogs.

We want Melbourne to lose.
Last edited by ace on Sat 12 Sep 2020 10:42pm, edited 3 times in total.


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868967Post skeptic »

Going to go down to the wire it looks...

Hurts to see Petracca be the player we always needed


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868968Post saynta »

maggots doing their best to ensure a GWS win.

Stands to reason. AFL own the maggots and GWS.

So we really need the dees to win


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868969Post ace »

skeptic wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 10:30pm Going to go down to the wire it looks...

Hurts to see Petracca be the player we always needed
Bains guilty
Trout guilty
Richardson guilty


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868970Post skeptic »

ace wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 10:37pm
skeptic wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 10:30pm Going to go down to the wire it looks...

Hurts to see Petracca be the player we always needed
Bains guilty
Trout guilty
Richardson guilty
Have no qualms sinking the boots into Richo, but I don’t think he really had a part in that. Don’t even know that it was a Trout thing. Bains really liked him though


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868971Post skeptic »

ace wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 10:27pm
SaintPav wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:13pm
The_Dud wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:02pm We beat GWS we make finalS, we lose and we won’t. That’s what it all boils down to.
It's mathematically possible that we can still make it even if we lose.

A win next week would make it a certainty though.
If we lose to GWS
AND Melbourne beat GWS we can still finish ahead of Melbourne on percentage.
OR Melbourne lose to Essendon
But if Melbourne lose they can't finish ahead of us.

If we lose to GWS and Bulldogs lose to either Hawthorn or Fremantle we can still finish ahead of the Dogs.

We want Melbourne to lose.
Puts them a game and % behind us.

Still gives us the opportunity to lose to GWS and not be overtaken by them or Melbourne.

It’s risks all round unfortunately but a Melbourne win gives us better odds IMO

GWS win and beat us, they go above us with the opportunity of Melbourne or WB overtaking as well


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868972Post skeptic »

Ooo looks like Melbourne have done it


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868974Post Teflon »

ace wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 10:27pm
SaintPav wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:13pm
The_Dud wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:02pm We beat GWS we make finalS, we lose and we won’t. That’s what it all boils down to.
It's mathematically possible that we can still make it even if we lose.

A win next week would make it a certainty though.
If we lose to GWS
AND Melbourne beat GWS we can still finish ahead of Melbourne on percentage.
OR Melbourne lose to Essendon
But if Melbourne lose they can't finish ahead of us.

If we lose to GWS and Bulldogs lose to either Hawthorn or Fremantle we can still finish ahead of the Dogs.

We want Melbourne to lose.
Ok I’m confused


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868975Post SemperFidelis »

Good if GWS kick a goal here.


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868976Post SemperFidelis »

Beauty


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868977Post SemperFidelis »

Blow the siren


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868978Post skeptic »

Ooh Melbourne by a goal, centre bounce with 30s left


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868979Post desertsaint »

perfect result


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868980Post skeptic »

Siren sounds, Melb. Win


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868981Post Teflon »

Ok wash up what’s it mean mathematicians


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868982Post skeptic »

What we really want short of a win is a doggies loss


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868983Post Goose is king »

[quote=skeptic post_id=1868982 time=1599912439 user_id=130]
What we really want short of a win is a doggies loss
[/quote]

So a Hawthorn watch


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868984Post bangaulegend »

Goose is king wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 8:04pm I can’t believe I’m barracking for Melbourne tonight and I still may not, but them winning does help our quest. So I guess Go Dees.
You keep this up mate & you will get us a flag Goose is King :wink:


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868985Post johnearljames »

Go Dees!!!!

GWS cannot overtake us unless they beat us by 25 goals. That is not happening.

Doubt Melbourne would either unless they win by at least 50 plus points against Essendon next week.

This is based on us losing to GWS.


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868986Post fugazi »

Teflon wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 9:43pm So we want a demons win by say 10 points or less?
Can you use your powers to get the Saints a win next week?😎


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Re: Melbourne watch

Post: # 1868987Post skeptic »

Teflon wrote: Sat 12 Sep 2020 11:06pm Ok wash up what’s it mean mathematicians
Making some assumptions...
Bulldogs win tomorrow, Magpies win tomorrow.

Going into the final round

Coll 38
St.Kilda 36
Bulldogs 36

Melb 32
GWS 32


A win guarantees finals.
If we lose assume the bulldogs overtake with a win. That pushes us to 8th

That means that GWS or Melbourne (if they win) need to make up the 5%


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