So how good are we?
Moderators: Saintsational Administrators, Saintsational Moderators
- skeptic
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 17048
- Joined: Wed 10 Mar 2004 7:10pm
- Has thanked: 3664 times
- Been thanked: 2927 times
So how good are we?
That’s the million dollar question.
The club has certainly exceeded my expectations that’s for sure.
The 1 point win over GC I thought rd1 is always unpredictable and was happy to get the points
Rd2 vs the Bombers I thought they were REALLY terrible and thought we should have won by more
The loss to Freo was IMO no big deal as we could have easily won and same with the win vs the Hawks but vice versa
Today vs Melbourne I thought at 1/2: Melbourne are producing garbage why aren’t we way further ahead (though I posted at halftime that it was in the bag) and was delighted to see them blow the demons apart in the 3/4. Even if they took the foot off the tempo in the last... the damage was done.
Good teams bury the stragglers and the mediocre and we did that today... first time this season... first time for a long time we made another team look completely second rate.
5 games in, 4 wins, top of the ladder at least for tonight. Can’t believe it. Credit to everyone involved including Richo who has been seriously under the torch by many... not least of all me, and persevered to look as though he’s turning it around. But how good do ppl think we are?
The nagging concern or doubt I have is that we haven’t yet knocked off a team that’s playing really well. Our biggest scalp was the bombers who have gone on to produce their best footy post us. Are we making teams look bad, is that it? Do ppl think that 5 rounds in as the ladder takes shape that finals is a minimal expectation now?
Are ppl expecting even higher than that? Seriously, how good can this team be in 2019?
The club has certainly exceeded my expectations that’s for sure.
The 1 point win over GC I thought rd1 is always unpredictable and was happy to get the points
Rd2 vs the Bombers I thought they were REALLY terrible and thought we should have won by more
The loss to Freo was IMO no big deal as we could have easily won and same with the win vs the Hawks but vice versa
Today vs Melbourne I thought at 1/2: Melbourne are producing garbage why aren’t we way further ahead (though I posted at halftime that it was in the bag) and was delighted to see them blow the demons apart in the 3/4. Even if they took the foot off the tempo in the last... the damage was done.
Good teams bury the stragglers and the mediocre and we did that today... first time this season... first time for a long time we made another team look completely second rate.
5 games in, 4 wins, top of the ladder at least for tonight. Can’t believe it. Credit to everyone involved including Richo who has been seriously under the torch by many... not least of all me, and persevered to look as though he’s turning it around. But how good do ppl think we are?
The nagging concern or doubt I have is that we haven’t yet knocked off a team that’s playing really well. Our biggest scalp was the bombers who have gone on to produce their best footy post us. Are we making teams look bad, is that it? Do ppl think that 5 rounds in as the ladder takes shape that finals is a minimal expectation now?
Are ppl expecting even higher than that? Seriously, how good can this team be in 2019?
- The_Dud
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 14060
- Joined: Sun 27 May 2007 9:53pm
- Location: Bendigo
- Has thanked: 1315 times
- Been thanked: 2093 times
Re: So how good are we?
Could very easily win 3 of our next 5.
All posters are equal, but some posters are more equal than others.
- tedtheodorelogan2018
- SS Life Member
- Posts: 3022
- Joined: Fri 14 Sep 2018 12:02am
- Has thanked: 559 times
- Been thanked: 452 times
Re: So how good are we?
We are currently on top and on form a top 4 side. It's a long season though of course but I have a feeling that we are now a big chance in every game no matter the opposition and location.
Posters that have admitted they were wrong about Hanna's gastro and the club didn't create a cover story.
Total = 1.
Total = 1.
-
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 6610
- Joined: Sat 11 Jun 2011 4:52pm
- Location: Here
- Has thanked: 1338 times
- Been thanked: 467 times
Re: So how good are we?
After how many rounds do they normally say there isn't much change in the top 8? Round 6? Halfway?
As ex-president Peter Summers said:
“If we are going to be a contender, we may as well plan to win the bloody thing.”
St Kilda - At least we have a Crest!
“If we are going to be a contender, we may as well plan to win the bloody thing.”
St Kilda - At least we have a Crest!
- desertsaint
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 10431
- Joined: Sun 27 Apr 2008 2:02pm
- Location: out there
- Has thanked: 190 times
- Been thanked: 713 times
Re: So how good are we?
I think after rnd 6 there’s on average two changes to the eight, but an average is pretty meaningless when applied to one instance.
All I know is we’re playing good pressure football and playing with confidence - that’ll keep us competitive with anyone. A bad loss will come like it does to everyone - the difference is how you rebound from it. Enjoying our footy at the moment without looking ahead.
All I know is we’re playing good pressure football and playing with confidence - that’ll keep us competitive with anyone. A bad loss will come like it does to everyone - the difference is how you rebound from it. Enjoying our footy at the moment without looking ahead.
"The starting point of all achievement is desire. "
-
- SS Hall of Fame
- Posts: 2080
- Joined: Fri 07 Jun 2013 1:03pm
- Has thanked: 224 times
- Been thanked: 344 times
Re: So how good are we?
I think it suits us having no runners. Has forced our young leaders to lead. Helped too by hannerbury stepping down from the leadership group which made way for billings. He's playing now like the champion we all hoped he'd be.
Ain't it grand
Ain't it grand
-
- Club Player
- Posts: 635
- Joined: Sat 20 Apr 2013 10:51pm
- Has thanked: 28 times
- Been thanked: 125 times
Re: So how good are we?
It's hard tell isn't it??
As it stands we look very hard to play against. Our defensive system looks super solid. It's a good start.
As it stands we look very hard to play against. Our defensive system looks super solid. It's a good start.
-
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 12099
- Joined: Sun 11 Sep 2011 2:26pm
- Has thanked: 3708 times
- Been thanked: 2579 times
Re: So how good are we?
I don't think you need to put a number on how many wins you think we will have in 2019. There is no benefit in trying to predict the future. As a player and as a club they need to focus on the now. Train well, prepare well, give your best effort on game day and them recover well and repeat. As they say, you shouldn't be putting a ceiling on where you could end up.
No doubt that the new assistant coaches have made a huge difference. Every interview I have heard with one of our senior leaders or one of our better players, they have made mention of the influence of Brett Ratten.
The leadership within the football department and the strategy to target mature age players has also put the blowtorch fairly and squarely back on the players and perhaps some of them are playing to save their careers going forward.
Not sure who it was but there was a post on this forum late last year after the National draft and the poster stated that we were looking to transition in 2019 and become competitive. I wasn't quite sure what he meant and I didn't really belive that you could plan to climb the ladder incrementally, but it looks like it is working
The strategy is brilliant because what we have on the playing list is 34 players all trying to fit into the 22. The ready made mature age players have put pressure on everyone and I think that all players are aware that there is someone in the VFL that could possibly fill the void if a player is not showing the effort and intensity that is required.
The attitude and the competitiveness was built up during the pre-season. Even though we've had some bad luck with injuries and with potential career ending incidences with Paddy and Robbo, I still think that morale and work ethic over summer has built up momentum and helped gell the team in 2019. How long can it last? Who knows?
It's working well and it will have sustained benefits for the team because it teaches the guys how to win and what it takes to win. The opposite was true with teams like Carlton and Melbourne who basically created a culture of losing. The 22 games over the h&a season are a marathon and not a sprint. The fact that we had a tough and gruelling preseason should hopefully have a positive affect as this season unfolds.
I was getting a bit nervous in the first 15 minutes in the last quarter when I saw some of our players tiring. Jack Billings started turning it over because he was pretty exhausted. Fortunately he found a bit extra and so did some of our other boys and we steadied the ship and finished over the top of them. Hopefully if/when we have a few slip ups during the year we remain consistently competitive and we finish strongly
We have Logan, Jake, Dan H, Dan McK, and a few others coming back from injury. The other good situation we have is that there are some very talented young guys on the playing list and as long as they recover fully, then we can expect Oscar, Jack Bytel, and Max King to improve into 2020 and put more pressure on the seniors to keep performing.
No doubt that the new assistant coaches have made a huge difference. Every interview I have heard with one of our senior leaders or one of our better players, they have made mention of the influence of Brett Ratten.
The leadership within the football department and the strategy to target mature age players has also put the blowtorch fairly and squarely back on the players and perhaps some of them are playing to save their careers going forward.
Not sure who it was but there was a post on this forum late last year after the National draft and the poster stated that we were looking to transition in 2019 and become competitive. I wasn't quite sure what he meant and I didn't really belive that you could plan to climb the ladder incrementally, but it looks like it is working
The strategy is brilliant because what we have on the playing list is 34 players all trying to fit into the 22. The ready made mature age players have put pressure on everyone and I think that all players are aware that there is someone in the VFL that could possibly fill the void if a player is not showing the effort and intensity that is required.
The attitude and the competitiveness was built up during the pre-season. Even though we've had some bad luck with injuries and with potential career ending incidences with Paddy and Robbo, I still think that morale and work ethic over summer has built up momentum and helped gell the team in 2019. How long can it last? Who knows?
It's working well and it will have sustained benefits for the team because it teaches the guys how to win and what it takes to win. The opposite was true with teams like Carlton and Melbourne who basically created a culture of losing. The 22 games over the h&a season are a marathon and not a sprint. The fact that we had a tough and gruelling preseason should hopefully have a positive affect as this season unfolds.
I was getting a bit nervous in the first 15 minutes in the last quarter when I saw some of our players tiring. Jack Billings started turning it over because he was pretty exhausted. Fortunately he found a bit extra and so did some of our other boys and we steadied the ship and finished over the top of them. Hopefully if/when we have a few slip ups during the year we remain consistently competitive and we finish strongly
We have Logan, Jake, Dan H, Dan McK, and a few others coming back from injury. The other good situation we have is that there are some very talented young guys on the playing list and as long as they recover fully, then we can expect Oscar, Jack Bytel, and Max King to improve into 2020 and put more pressure on the seniors to keep performing.
- saintsRrising
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 30098
- Joined: Mon 15 Mar 2004 11:07am
- Location: Melbourne
- Has thanked: 711 times
- Been thanked: 1235 times
Re: So how good are we?
We are clearly better this season.
How much better? We after we have played GWS, WCE and Pies we will know.
Flying the World in comfort thanks to FF Points....
- Enrico_Misso
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 11662
- Joined: Tue 13 Jun 2006 12:11am
- Location: Moorabbin Chapter of The Royal Society of Hagiographers
- Has thanked: 315 times
- Been thanked: 720 times
Re: So how good are we?
But we'll take it!
The next 4 weeks will clear up those nagging concerns.
The rest of Australia can wander mask-free, socialise, eat out, no curfews, no zoning, no police rings of steel, no illogical inconsistent rules.
They can even WATCH LIVE FOOTY!
They can even WATCH LIVE FOOTY!
- WellardSaint
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 8391
- Joined: Sat 26 May 2012 11:25am
- Location: Perth- the best weather in Oz, but the worst rednecks.
- Has thanked: 1911 times
- Been thanked: 889 times
Re: So how good are we?
We'll beat the Crows, because they're disinterested and unhappy.Enrico_Misso wrote: ↑Sun 21 Apr 2019 1:23amBut we'll take it!
The next 4 weeks will clear up those nagging concerns.
The real test comes vs Sydney, who have Longmire, Blakey etc who are smart coaches and will try to work out how to stifle us.
Clarko couldn't outcoach us, but by the time we meet Shitney, there's a lot more video they can go through to see our style.
A real Sainter will pledge allegiance to the ❤ and despise the Pies, the Blues, and the Injectors.
Remember one of the 10 Commandments : Thou shalt have no other team before thee
Remember one of the 10 Commandments : Thou shalt have no other team before thee
- ace
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 10799
- Joined: Sun 16 Dec 2007 3:28pm
- Location: St Kilda
- Has thanked: 31 times
- Been thanked: 837 times
Re: So how good are we?
Adelaide, GWS, West Coast and CollingwoodsaintsRrising wrote: ↑Sun 21 Apr 2019 1:16amWe are clearly better this season.
How much better? We after we have played GWS, WCE and Pies we will know.
They will tell us if we are top 4 or bottom 4.
Win 3 out of 4 and we a premiership contenders.
Lose all 4 and we are pretenders.
I fear our wings may melt in the sun.
The more you know, the more you know you don't know.
When I was a young child, I knew that I knew so much about so much.
Now that I am old and know so much more, I know that I know so much about so little, and so little about so much.
If you are not engaging AI actively and aggressively, you are doing it wrong.
You are not going to lose your job to AI.
You are going lose your job to somebody who uses AI.
Your company is not going to go out of business because of AI.
Your company is going to go out of business because another company used AI.
- Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA
When I was a young child, I knew that I knew so much about so much.
Now that I am old and know so much more, I know that I know so much about so little, and so little about so much.
If you are not engaging AI actively and aggressively, you are doing it wrong.
You are not going to lose your job to AI.
You are going lose your job to somebody who uses AI.
Your company is not going to go out of business because of AI.
Your company is going to go out of business because another company used AI.
- Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA
-
- Club Player
- Posts: 1874
- Joined: Mon 08 Mar 2004 10:38pm
- Location: In a laundrette, San Francisco USA
- Has thanked: 4 times
- Been thanked: 54 times
Re: So how good are we?
The backline at the moment is very Sydney like ...one thing I have noticed is that when the ball comes into the opposition forward line, the saints will have 1 up for the spoil more often than not with 2 out back and one front and centre. The ball hits the ground, one of the three takes possession, then either gets fed to the back or is won out back and the spread happens. Very effective and it is what Sydney have done for years.
Not Craw, CRAW!
- mightysainters
- SS Hall of Fame
- Posts: 1986
- Joined: Tue 16 Mar 2004 2:21pm
- Has thanked: 28 times
- Been thanked: 52 times
Re: So how good are we?
Longmire? Sydney? They’re bottom 4 and he’s a terrible coach still rolling out the same game plan.. they’re rubbishWellardSaint wrote: ↑Sun 21 Apr 2019 1:36amWe'll beat the Crows, because they're disinterested and unhappy.Enrico_Misso wrote: ↑Sun 21 Apr 2019 1:23amBut we'll take it!
The next 4 weeks will clear up those nagging concerns.
The real test comes vs Sydney, who have Longmire, Blakey etc who are smart coaches and will try to work out how to stifle us.
Clarko couldn't outcoach us, but by the time we meet Shitney, there's a lot more video they can go through to see our style.
-
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 25303
- Joined: Tue 01 Feb 2005 4:25pm
- Location: Trump Tower
- Has thanked: 142 times
- Been thanked: 284 times
Re: So how good are we?
Jesus Christ did you see how tight the boys are when they sand the song post match yesterday? It was like it was their first win in ages - a celebration Carlton typically has in Round 11. These boys can win through spirit alone at the moment.
Just hope the external noise from our massive bandwagon supporter base - you know the type that are Saints fans that only appear when we are winning - do their mandatory backslapping and talking us up too much, doesn’t get into their heads.
All of us SS posters can do as we please, as we are real fans and are afforded the right to get a bit c**k-a-hoop at the moment.
Let’s smash those f****** Crows and send their coach and club into utter turmoil.
Just hope the external noise from our massive bandwagon supporter base - you know the type that are Saints fans that only appear when we are winning - do their mandatory backslapping and talking us up too much, doesn’t get into their heads.
All of us SS posters can do as we please, as we are real fans and are afforded the right to get a bit c**k-a-hoop at the moment.
Let’s smash those f****** Crows and send their coach and club into utter turmoil.
i am Melbourne Skies - sometimes Blue Skies, Grey Skies, even Partly Cloudy Skies.
-
- Club Player
- Posts: 1319
- Joined: Sun 25 Mar 2012 9:45pm
- Has thanked: 24 times
- Been thanked: 101 times
Re: So how good are we?
I am not getting carried away...
Would not swap our list for Melbourne's though.... strange how many "experts" rated their list so highly and ours as totally shite, just 5 weeks ago.
But the fact is we beat them, and we also have a range of players drafted from 2016, 2017, 2018 who are developing.
By contrast, Melbourne largely traded out of these drafts... their last first rounder was 2015... Clearly they got a gun in Oliver...
But players taken in 2015 or earlier already impacting and have less upside...
The last three drafts their earliest picks of draft age players
Melbourne's first non mature age pick ups in each year:
2016 pick 64 Dione Johnstone
2017 pick 29 Charlie Spargo
2018 pick 33 James Jordon
I am sure they got some other promising late picks.. but compare to our last three years worth of developing youngsters:
St Kilda:
2016 Ben Long (25), Josh Battle (39), Ed Phillips
2017 Hunter Clark (7), Nick Coffield (8), Oscar Clavarino, Ben Paton, Doulton Langlands
2018 Max King (4), Jack Bytel
I recon our list has more upside than theirs... they invested heavily into this bunch of players with their draft strategy and they may not deliver
They also over-rated Tom McDonald... Jesse Hogan is a big loss for them
Would not swap our list for Melbourne's though.... strange how many "experts" rated their list so highly and ours as totally shite, just 5 weeks ago.
But the fact is we beat them, and we also have a range of players drafted from 2016, 2017, 2018 who are developing.
By contrast, Melbourne largely traded out of these drafts... their last first rounder was 2015... Clearly they got a gun in Oliver...
But players taken in 2015 or earlier already impacting and have less upside...
The last three drafts their earliest picks of draft age players
Melbourne's first non mature age pick ups in each year:
2016 pick 64 Dione Johnstone
2017 pick 29 Charlie Spargo
2018 pick 33 James Jordon
I am sure they got some other promising late picks.. but compare to our last three years worth of developing youngsters:
St Kilda:
2016 Ben Long (25), Josh Battle (39), Ed Phillips
2017 Hunter Clark (7), Nick Coffield (8), Oscar Clavarino, Ben Paton, Doulton Langlands
2018 Max King (4), Jack Bytel
I recon our list has more upside than theirs... they invested heavily into this bunch of players with their draft strategy and they may not deliver
They also over-rated Tom McDonald... Jesse Hogan is a big loss for them
-
- Club Player
- Posts: 1192
- Joined: Thu 22 Nov 2007 8:27pm
- Has thanked: 268 times
- Been thanked: 58 times
Re: So how good are we?
This is the first time since 2009 (not 2010, in 2010 it dropped off) that I have seen the saints apply that extreme level of tackling pressure. I remember in 2009, the Crows were on a 7 game winning streak... until they hit the saints and got absolutely smacked.
I think we're making these teams look bad.
I think we're making these teams look bad.
1ac46a38
- Joffa Burns
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 7081
- Joined: Tue 09 Mar 2004 5:48pm
- Has thanked: 1871 times
- Been thanked: 1570 times
Re: So how good are we?
Are they out of form or playing as well as we are allowing them to?skeptic wrote: ↑Sat 20 Apr 2019 11:16pm That’s the million dollar question.
The nagging concern or doubt I have is that we haven’t yet knocked off a team that’s playing really well. Our biggest scalp was the bombers who have gone on to produce their best footy post us. Are we making teams look bad, is that it? Do ppl think that 5 rounds in as the ladder takes shape that finals is a minimal expectation now?
It’s a great question you raise.
The next four or five weeks will answer it.
Personally I thought we’d be 4/1 at this point in the season, that is 4 losses to one win
Unbelievable turnaround to date.
Can it continue?
Proudly assuming the title of forum Oracle and serving as the inaugural Saintsational ‘weak as piss brigade’ President.
-
- Club Player
- Posts: 1347
- Joined: Sat 06 Apr 2019 10:34am
- Has thanked: 278 times
- Been thanked: 321 times
Re: So how good are we?
I think we're currently a 4-10th team.
In two months, we'll be a 10-14th team.
Those getting themselves worked up are in for a rude shock.
We're Ok, but won't be a contender until next year or the year after.
In two months, we'll be a 10-14th team.
Those getting themselves worked up are in for a rude shock.
We're Ok, but won't be a contender until next year or the year after.
- Linton Lodger
- SS Hall of Fame
- Posts: 2467
- Joined: Mon 18 Aug 2014 2:07pm
- Has thanked: 86 times
- Been thanked: 256 times
Re: So how good are we?
The next four weeks will tell us:
Adelaide (Home)
GWS (Canberra)
West Coast (Home)
Collingwood (MCG)
Adelaide (Home)
GWS (Canberra)
West Coast (Home)
Collingwood (MCG)
-
- Club Player
- Posts: 1096
- Joined: Fri 28 Nov 2014 5:33pm
- Has thanked: 331 times
- Been thanked: 268 times
Re: So how good are we?
i think we have beaten teams that we will likely compete with for a top 8 spot, so that great.
The next 4 weeks we are playing teams all fancied to finish top 4 at start of the year, so I wont be shattered if we dont win. I will be disappointed if we dont turn up with the same effort though. I reckon 5-4 after 9 , and a real chance at the 8 by seasons end.
The next 4 weeks we are playing teams all fancied to finish top 4 at start of the year, so I wont be shattered if we dont win. I will be disappointed if we dont turn up with the same effort though. I reckon 5-4 after 9 , and a real chance at the 8 by seasons end.
-
- Club Player
- Posts: 1404
- Joined: Fri 26 May 2006 4:29pm
- Has thanked: 31 times
- Been thanked: 132 times
Re: So how good are we?
IMO we are delivering on 2018 expectations - one year behind - a promising side to make the finals.
We are grounded this year, our players have a point to prove and the club has filled itself full of winners for support, albeit many have flaws. It is great IMO including Dan. Its a packaged workout.
But supporters need to manage own expectations. Some on here really lost the plot last year.
We will not win the flag in 2019.
We are grounded this year, our players have a point to prove and the club has filled itself full of winners for support, albeit many have flaws. It is great IMO including Dan. Its a packaged workout.
But supporters need to manage own expectations. Some on here really lost the plot last year.
We will not win the flag in 2019.
-
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 9373
- Joined: Wed 03 Aug 2005 10:01pm
- Has thanked: 662 times
- Been thanked: 498 times
Re: So how good are we?
That round one victory was just about as close as it could get and like many others I was less than overconfident about our prospects for 2019. BUT..... what I did find heartening was the manner in which our guys scrapped and fought for the win! THAT attitude has been there in every game so far this season. I may be way out of line here, and will defer to those who've been watching AFL longer than I, but (IMHO) the brand of footy being played by our boys is perfectly suited for the pressure and intensity required in finals. Watching our defenders bringing the ball out via handball with quick hands and nimble brains is one of THE biggest improvements overall. I was most impressed yesterday. Yes, we're not ready to be seen (yet) as legitimate "Top 4" material..... but if this level of football can be maintained on a consistent basis, then WHY NOT????
St Kilda forever ( God help me)