longtimesaint wrote:That's why we are better to take our two first round picks to the draft and get the best possible young guys to give us the best building blocks for the next ten years.
Still risk involved there though. Someone else posted on here a few days ago that something like 50% of top ten picks don't go on to have even moderately successful careers. It's a bit of a lottery. WW posted yesterday a list of the top 20 draft prospects for this year. Reading their bios, they all read like superstars to be.
But they're young fellas, with lots of emotional, physical and psychological development ahead of them and their bios are based on them, with an exception or two, competing with schoolboys. No-one really knows how they'll turn out once they get into the pressure cooker of the AFL. It's easy with hindsight, but foresight is a lottery.
So........if there's an opportunity to trade for a young player who clearly is going to be a gun, then I'd go for it. Kelly a prime example. And because he's clearly going to play a lot of elite footy, his asking price is higher than a speculative pick on a promising draftee, no matter how highly rated he is. If we end up with pick 1, (Hawks, what a shame), I'd be giving it up no questions asked for Kelly and GWS will probably want another pick or player as well and fair enough.