Con Gorozidis wrote:CQ SAINT wrote:Con Gorozidis wrote:CQ SAINT wrote:stonecold wrote:Saturday night just proves even more how much we need Hurley, even with JC coming in!!!!!
Pres, easy to bring stuff up in 6 months time!!!!!
Should enter politics, get a Combover and state the obvious Donald!!!!!
Thats not such a big call. 16 clubs could use Hurley. Only one will get him. Its most likely to be Essendon IMHO. All he has to do is speak. That wont happen until late August. If it is St.kilda we can kiss our first round pick goodbye. If we make him go to the AFL or courts to get his contract void it really means that we dont want him.
I would be more than happy to give up the pick.
Time for us to get aggressive and bag a couple of significant trades. We dont have time to wait for a young player to come on. We have about 6 of them already.
Time to be patient imo.
Jumping the gun and thinking you are closer than you are can be a fool's paradise. Ask Carlton, Tigers and Port.
Im not being impatient just realistic. We didnt take Bontempelli and we didn't take Petracca.
Its not me living in a fools paradise. Our ability to pick a smokie out of the draft next year comes down to a one in a hundred chance. We hope Paddy Carlisle Goddard and Billings will give us value, I am happy to be patient.
If we are not as close as we might think how will patience and late first round picks help?
We are going to loose Riewoldt Fisher Montagna and Dempster by the time these boys come on. If they come on. These four will go down as club greats.
Patience? I think its time to consider probability.
i expect we are chasing top 4 by 2018. That wont bring us any closer to a top draft pick from here.
You tell me how thst might be sustained if it is even achieved.
I wonder if anyone is prepared to trade a gun midfielder for a young one that comes with a side order of patience.
Get aggressive now!
Nothing you said makes any logical sense but ok.
You think a pick 10 is a 'one in a hundred'?
What does 'get aggressive' mean?
Surely we are looking for the best deals every year?
Are you saying sometimes we deliberately look for poor deals?
I mean what does it mean? Surely every year we get best available with resources available?
We have lots of salary cap space. We have been saving up. So I guess we have been punting on potential with our trades and looking for 10 year players with our picks.
We have been trading established players, deepening our list and stocking up on draft picks for 6 years. Webster Newnes Ross and Dunstan are the only players in that stock that have played 50 games or more. All solid performers but none have set the world on fire.
Billings and McCartin are our top 5 picks. Injury and form have been a concern but they are both worthy of patience. The 2 guys that were picked after them are both in rebuild sides very similar to us and are performing very well already, you might say instantly. Our 2 boys unfortunately have issues.
Gresham and Jack Steven are probably the 2 best picks we have had in a decade. I think there was about 75 picks between them. Hence the 1 in 100 comment.
Cripps Lynch and McEvoy were good picks werent they but we all know how that ended.
Now, our draft chances are very limited and wont improve our list much in the next 2 years.
On the other hand Roberton Membrey Weller Bruce Hickey Longer ànd Savage (who collectively have made the biggest impact in the last 2 years on our win loss ratio) were all drafted by someone else and they were all bargains but not the best available.
Carlisle and Freeman are yet to play but were great acquisitions based on our needs. More patience required.
We are still very reliant on Montagna Dempster Fisher and Riewoldt. Without them we would be stuffed. Patience wont help here.
Armo has peaked and only Jack Steven can win, carry, and clear the ball in an elite fashion. Joey is next best but is actually more effective that Steven.
Steven is less than 70% effective with his 28 average disposals. This has not changed much over his career. His kicking is not getting better his endurance and speed is.
Jack Newnes is next most experienced mid. He averages about 20 effective disposals a week. Basically the same as Steven Montagna Armo and Ross.
Newnes is about 75% efficient and this hasnt changed much over 80 games. It seems (at least with our list) that disposal efficiency rarely gets better with experience. We have some very good athletes in the side but we lack a genuine superstar midfielder and we are poor by foot.
Billings should be feeling a lot of pressure. His reputation as a junior was outstanding. His stats are good considering the opportunities he has had, he is a natural footballer and he averages 20 disposals, which he seems to get without a great deal of effort from wing/half forward but he has been unlucky with injury.
What is frightening about him is his disposal efficiency is poor and it appears that that doesnt improve no matter how patient you are. He has been very poor at kicking for goal and his body hasn't allowed him to apply physical pressure so far. Im not sure he is going to be our next gun mid.
What do I mean by aggressive. I probably mean that we have filled all our vacancies for long term project players and our 4 most proven players are soon to retire.
We need to raid some elite kicking midfield talent now. May be im wrong I dont know. Hurley would be nice too. Dempster Roberton and Gilbert arent tall enough and are more effective in other roles.
Fisher is awesome but he has had his day. I believe we are as close as we get might for a couple of years. While we still have Roo and Joey.
I could be wrong. I hope so.