Johnny Member wrote: A game plan that yields only 60 points consistently in Grand Finals, clearly means that taking every opportunity becomes much more critical than with a game plan that yields 80-100 points.
In a GF, opportunities are rarer, and conversion is statistically worse than in the regular season.
So I do blame the game plan.
Under Lyon, it's a fact that you don't give yourself as many scoring opportunities. In a Grand Final, it's fact that conversion is lower.
So you do the maths.
This is the guts of Lyon's losing GF habit I reckon. Interesting article by Rohan Connolly in today's Age where he talks exactly about what JM has posted above. The forward 50 entry conversion rate being much more critical when there are less entries.
Link here :
http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/f ... 2umii.html
In it Connolly gives this stat :
"........but the Saints who went within a Matthew Scarlett toe-poke of a premiership are the only one of Lyon's teams in seven years as an AFL coach to rank higher than eighth for attack. In the four grand finals he's now coached, his teams have scored nine, 10, seven and eight goals. "
So he's made the GF three (four) times but his teams, apart from us in '09, have never ranked higher than 8th for points scored in a season. That's a telling stat.