Elite. Below average and poor

This unofficial St Kilda Saints fan forum is for people of all ages to chat Saints Footy and all posts must be respectful.

Moderators: Saintsational Administrators, Saintsational Moderators

Post Reply
User avatar
MC Gusto
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 6084
Joined: Tue 09 Mar 2004 8:29am
Has thanked: 2 times
Been thanked: 372 times

Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303697Post MC Gusto »

Interesting article, the below average startles me!
Where's Lenny Milne and demptster?

http://m.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/tig ... 2flk2.html


#1 Ryder fan
User avatar
kosifantutti
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 8584
Joined: Fri 21 Jan 2005 9:06am
Location: Back in town
Has thanked: 527 times
Been thanked: 1534 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303702Post kosifantutti »

McEvoy being elite startles me


Macquarie Dictionary Word of the Year for 2023 "Kosi Lives"
plugger66
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 50626
Joined: Mon 26 Feb 2007 8:15pm
Location: oakleigh

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303704Post plugger66 »

kosifantutti wrote:McEvoy being elite startles me

Its isnt based on champion data? He always get a lot of points in that. You can do what you want with stats.


User avatar
stkildathunda
SS Hall of Fame
Posts: 2176
Joined: Mon 10 Aug 2009 11:03am
Location: Inside The Circle Of Zen
Contact:

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303710Post stkildathunda »

Here is the full list, its important to remember its not based on Dream Team or Supercoach stats. There is alot different things that go into it and the rankings are based on every single play on all AFL lists.

ELITE (Top 10% of position in AFL)
Nick Dal Santo
Ben McEvoy
Nick Riewoldt

ABOVE AVERAGE ( Top 35% of position)
Lenny Hayes
Leigh Montagna
Sam Fisher
Jack Steven
Sean Dempster
Adam Schneider
Sam Gilbert
Jason Blake
Stephen Milne

AVERAGE (Middle 305 of position)
David Armitage
Clint Jones
James Gwilt
Farren Ray
Jarryn Geary
Terry Milera
Justin Koschitzke
Rhys Stanley
Ahmed Saad
Tom Simpkin

BELOW AVERAGE (Bottom 35% of position)
Tom Hickey
Arryn Siposs
Jack Newnes
Beau Wilkes

POOR (Bottom 10% of position)
Dylan Roberton
Tom Ledger
Trent Dennis Lane
Sam Dunell

? (Less than 5 games 2011-12)
Seb Ross
Nathan Wright
Spencer White
Daniel Markworth
Brodie Murdoch
Jimmy Webster
Josh Saunders
Jay Lever
Lewis Pierce
Tom Lee

ROOKIE
Cam Shenton
Tom Curren
Jackson Ferguson
Jordan Staley
Darren Minchington


spert
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 9154
Joined: Wed 29 Jun 2005 10:39pm
Location: A distant beach
Has thanked: 1 time
Been thanked: 438 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303711Post spert »

Erratic data with little relevance or structure


User avatar
kosifantutti
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 8584
Joined: Fri 21 Jan 2005 9:06am
Location: Back in town
Has thanked: 527 times
Been thanked: 1534 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303716Post kosifantutti »

Dwayne Russell needs a copy of that list so he can work out how many and what type of players are missing each week. Seems we only had 33% of our elite players and the Swans had 40% of theirs


Macquarie Dictionary Word of the Year for 2023 "Kosi Lives"
User avatar
rexy
SS Life Member
Posts: 3373
Joined: Wed 24 Mar 2004 12:12am
Location: The Gully

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303718Post rexy »

Rubbish stats


Maybe this year?
User avatar
dragit
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 13047
Joined: Tue 29 Jun 2010 11:56am
Has thanked: 605 times
Been thanked: 315 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303719Post dragit »

Absurd.

Dempster not in the top 10% of his position, but was AA.

Milne not in the top 10% of small forwards - please.

Saad only rated as average, though has nearly kicked 2 goals per game.

Hickey, Newnes, Ledger, Dunnell have barely played at the level yet.

MacEvoy murdered in the ruck most of the year, yet considered elite.

Absurd.


BigMart
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 13622
Joined: Sat 22 Mar 2008 6:06pm
Been thanked: 1 time

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303721Post BigMart »

Joke article, obviously written by a stats nerd..

Sam Fisher and Lenny Hayes would still be considered elite in afl circles and in opposition coaches planning.


bergholt
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 7356
Joined: Wed 11 Aug 2004 9:25am

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303726Post bergholt »

I love stats as much as the next guy, but this is basically all complete crap.


User avatar
stinger
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 38126
Joined: Tue 09 Mar 2004 9:06pm
Location: Australia.

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303729Post stinger »

bergholt wrote:I love stats as much as the next guy, but this is basically all complete crap.

for once...


+1..... :wink:


.everybody still loves lenny....and we always will

"Freedom of expression is the cornerstone of a free society,"

However, freedom of expression is not encouraged in certain forums.
User avatar
Pureoctain
Club Player
Posts: 210
Joined: Sun 14 May 2006 12:00pm
Location: Victoria

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303742Post Pureoctain »

If it ranks them for there position, it's ludicrous to say milne isn't in the elite. All australian forward pocket for the last 2 years.... also Jarrod Waite and Nathan Bock are listed as elite forwards, come on


User avatar
MC Gusto
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 6084
Joined: Tue 09 Mar 2004 8:29am
Has thanked: 2 times
Been thanked: 372 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303746Post MC Gusto »

Can guarantee newnes won't be below average by seasons end...sippa unlikely too


#1 Ryder fan
ROLS-LEE
Club Player
Posts: 1210
Joined: Tue 25 Sep 2007 3:45am
Has thanked: 32 times
Been thanked: 40 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303755Post ROLS-LEE »

stkildathunda wrote:Here is the full list, its important to remember its not based on Dream Team or Supercoach stats. There is alot different things that go into it and the rankings are based on every single play on all AFL lists.

ELITE (Top 10% of position in AFL)
Nick Dal Santo
Ben McEvoy
Nick Riewoldt

ABOVE AVERAGE ( Top 35% of position)
Lenny Hayes
Leigh Montagna
Sam Fisher
Jack Steven
Sean Dempster
Adam Schneider
Sam Gilbert
Jason Blake
Stephen Milne

AVERAGE (Middle 305 of position)
David Armitage
Clint Jones
James Gwilt
Farren Ray
Jarryn Geary
Terry Milera
Justin Koschitzke
Rhys Stanley
Ahmed Saad
Tom Simpkin

BELOW AVERAGE (Bottom 35% of position)
Tom Hickey
Arryn Siposs
Jack Newnes
Beau Wilkes

POOR (Bottom 10% of position)
Dylan Roberton
Tom Ledger
Trent Dennis Lane
Sam Dunell

? (Less than 5 games 2011-12)
Seb Ross
Nathan Wright
Spencer White
Daniel Markworth
Brodie Murdoch
Jimmy Webster
Josh Saunders
Jay Lever
Lewis Pierce
Tom Lee

ROOKIE
Cam Shenton
Tom Curren
Jackson Ferguson
Jordan Staley
Darren Minchington

Based on supercoach / dreamteam stats and perception to me.

To be honest we only have one elite player for postion last year and that was Milne, and he still is the best forward pocket player in the AFL.

You can argue the others but for example going from there own rating system was Dal or Lenny in the top 10% of all players in the midfield last year?? I dont think so, so they are listed were they should be.

But Big Mac, lol elite and in the top 10% or within the best top 4 ruckmen in the league. I dont think so.

Roo same story. In his day yes, last year no.


gringo
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 12421
Joined: Tue 24 Mar 2009 11:05pm
Location: St Kilda
Has thanked: 296 times
Been thanked: 55 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303762Post gringo »

What crap. It shows that stats lie more than anything. the only thing it does is make losing Cripps easier- he dropped down our amount of poor players.


BigMart
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 13622
Joined: Sat 22 Mar 2008 6:06pm
Been thanked: 1 time

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303839Post BigMart »

Mark LeCras is the best forward pocket in the AFL.

Hayes, Fisher, Riewoldt, Dal have all been elite in periods of their careers...


st.byron
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 10598
Joined: Tue 14 Jun 2005 7:04pm
Location: North
Has thanked: 1011 times
Been thanked: 1055 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303843Post st.byron »

What a crock of shyte. Lenny, Milney, Fish, Dempster are all exceptional and elite. Big Ben is not elite. Rubbish article.


Richter
SS Life Member
Posts: 3914
Joined: Wed 30 Nov 2005 1:18pm
Location: Elwood

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303873Post Richter »

Interesting to me is that all 4 of the guys listed on the 'below average' section for us have good upside potential.... and in fact have all (perhaps not so much Newnes) already suggested in their NAB Cup performances that they will be significant improvers next year.

OTOH based on this, Roberton, TDL, Dunnell and Ledger will be playing for their careers this year.


Hird... The unflushable one is now... just a turd...
vacuous space
SS Life Member
Posts: 3465
Joined: Fri 29 Oct 2004 1:01pm
Has thanked: 91 times
Been thanked: 162 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303884Post vacuous space »

It's not useless, but since they haven't given us context, we can't assess how useful it is. It's a maths test answer that show no workings. Just saying 'detailed statistical analysis' isn't evidence of anything by itself.

Lenny and Dal must have been close to the borderline. They were pretty much neck and neck in most inside mid statistical categories. I think goals was the only area where Dal was significantly ahead. Lenny was a fair way in front in tackles. Lenny probably turned over the ball more (AFL.com.au has taken down a lot of their stats). It's not really surprising that Lenny didn't make it though. His stats don't reflect his character or his usefulness (possession bias?).

What's really surprising is they actually included genuine defensive players for a change. They still clearly weight way too strongly in favour of attacking players (Reilly, Scotland over Dempster), but it's a start. Their ranking points have never included spoils, which has always meant that key defenders have zero chance of being ranked. At least a few made it here, although it looks suspiciously like they've cherry picked the ones who got shortlisted for AA in recent years.

They clearly haven't fixed their anti-small forward bias though. No Milne, no Betts. Guys who kick goals from nowhere should not be underrated, but somehow are (posession bias?). They somehow got Rioli, which really emphasises how amazing he is. They didn't have Jetta though. A mid who kicks goals from nowhere from anywhere on the ground - yeah - I'd hate to have one of them.

It doesn't pass the smells test. I agree with whoever it was above that says it smells like supercoach plus bias.


Yeah nah pleasing positive
User avatar
kosifantutti
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 8584
Joined: Fri 21 Jan 2005 9:06am
Location: Back in town
Has thanked: 527 times
Been thanked: 1534 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303913Post kosifantutti »

vacuous space wrote: Lenny and Dal must have been close to the borderline. They were pretty much neck and neck in most inside mid statistical categories. I think goals was the only area where Dal was significantly ahead. Lenny was a fair way in front in tackles. Lenny probably turned over the ball more (AFL.com.au has taken down a lot of their stats). It's not really surprising that Lenny didn't make it though. His stats don't reflect his character or his usefulness (possession bias?).
I believe its done over the last two years which probably doesn't favour Lenny.


Macquarie Dictionary Word of the Year for 2023 "Kosi Lives"
User avatar
Bernard Shakey
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 11242
Joined: Sun 18 Mar 2007 11:22pm
Location: Down By The River 1989, 2003, 2009 & 2013
Has thanked: 126 times
Been thanked: 137 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1303997Post Bernard Shakey »

BigMart wrote:Joke article, obviously written by a stats nerd..

Sam Fisher and Lenny Hayes would still be considered elite in afl circles and in opposition coaches planning.
It clearly says it is based on Champion Data stats, and that is all it is, stats. So it wasn't a joke, but often your posts are.


Old enough to repaint, but young enough to sell
whiskers3614
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 4567
Joined: Thu 20 May 2010 11:49pm
Has thanked: 120 times
Been thanked: 315 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1304002Post whiskers3614 »

Swap McEvoy and Lenny on the list and I wouldn't have any great argument with the list.


BigMart
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 13622
Joined: Sat 22 Mar 2008 6:06pm
Been thanked: 1 time

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1304003Post BigMart »

Was Beau on the 'poor' list

The lists demonstrate just how irrelevant the article was... Maybe relevant to DT nerds?!

Any knowledgable footy player, coach, fan, umpire, commentator would laugh at list... Such is the quality of the joke...

McEvoy might get more points, but He ain't in our best 10....


whiskers3614
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 4567
Joined: Thu 20 May 2010 11:49pm
Has thanked: 120 times
Been thanked: 315 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1304005Post whiskers3614 »

No, he was on the below average list
Don't reckon any right minded person could argue with that on last years output


User avatar
Bernard Shakey
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 11242
Joined: Sun 18 Mar 2007 11:22pm
Location: Down By The River 1989, 2003, 2009 & 2013
Has thanked: 126 times
Been thanked: 137 times

Re: Elite. Below average and poor

Post: # 1304084Post Bernard Shakey »

BigMart wrote:Was Beau on the 'poor' list

The lists demonstrate just how irrelevant the article was... Maybe relevant to DT nerds?!

Any knowledgable footy player, coach, fan, umpire, commentator would laugh at list... Such is the quality of the joke...

McEvoy might get more points, but He ain't in our best 10....

Had nothing to do with our best 10, it was Champion Data's rating of players in their position based on last years stats.
Why don't you read the article before going off half cocked?


Old enough to repaint, but young enough to sell
Post Reply