Dawgs $4.50

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perfectionist
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Dawgs $4.50

Post: # 988227Post perfectionist »

At Sportsbet anyway and we are $1.21 - can't be too many times that have had those odds (in our favour) for a final. By the way, they are completely ridiculous, even taking into account the usual Saints fan anxiety. I would have thought that $1.60 to $2.00 might be more apt - but - I hope the punters who have backed the Saints are spot on - and from the first quarter.


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Post: # 988229Post noob »

I'd say the more respectable odds would be $1.40-45 for the saints 3.10-20 for the dogs.


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Post: # 988230Post plugger66 »

$1.25 to $ 4.90 on Betfair. Always get the best odds there.


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Post: # 988234Post Foz »

Looking ahead to the GF

Betting suggests Pies would be around $1.50, Saints $2.50 and Cats $1.60 saints $ 2.35

Thats where the real value lies IMHO.

But a lot can change this weekend on those bet-imates.


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Post: # 988249Post Cairnsman »

The bookies have to mitigate the risk of some big payouts to some punters that have heavily backed the saints for the flag. They are down millions if the saints win the flag so the odds for this week could be to throw the barracuda punters circling the saints off the scent and hopefully attract the opportunists towards the dogs.
Last edited by Cairnsman on Wed 15 Sep 2010 8:37pm, edited 1 time in total.


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Post: # 988255Post plugger66 »

Cairnsman wrote:The bookies have to mitigate the risk of some big payouts to some punters that have heavily backed the saints for the flag. They are down millions if the saints win the flag so the odds for this week could be to throw the barracuda punters of the scent.
What makes you say we are the big payout. If that was the case we would be shorter for the flag.


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Post: # 988264Post Cairnsman »

plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:The bookies have to mitigate the risk of some big payouts to some punters that have heavily backed the saints for the flag. They are down millions if the saints win the flag so the odds for this week could be to throw the barracuda punters of the scent.
What makes you say we are the big payout. If that was the case we would be shorter for the flag.
there was some large coin put down when the saints blew out to 5s and 6s towards the end of the h&a. This was in addition to some large cabbage laid down when the boys blew out to 8 around the time we lost to port.


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Post: # 988266Post Thinline »

plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:The bookies have to mitigate the risk of some big payouts to some punters that have heavily backed the saints for the flag. They are down millions if the saints win the flag so the odds for this week could be to throw the barracuda punters of the scent.
What makes you say we are the big payout. If that was the case we would be shorter for the flag.
I assume he's referring to a couple of well publicised big bets on the Saints?

I don't know. I'm not a punters bum.


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Post: # 988267Post plugger66 »

Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:The bookies have to mitigate the risk of some big payouts to some punters that have heavily backed the saints for the flag. They are down millions if the saints win the flag so the odds for this week could be to throw the barracuda punters of the scent.
What makes you say we are the big payout. If that was the case we would be shorter for the flag.
there was some large coin put down when the saints blew out to 5s and 6s towards the end of the h&a. This was in addition to some large cabbage laid down when the boys blew out to 8 around the time we lost to port.
If that was the case wouldnt they be shorter for the flag. Thats normally how it works.


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Post: # 988277Post Cairnsman »

plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:The bookies have to mitigate the risk of some big payouts to some punters that have heavily backed the saints for the flag. They are down millions if the saints win the flag so the odds for this week could be to throw the barracuda punters of the scent.
What makes you say we are the big payout. If that was the case we would be shorter for the flag.
there was some large coin put down when the saints blew out to 5s and 6s towards the end of the h&a. This was in addition to some large cabbage laid down when the boys blew out to 8 around the time we lost to port.
If that was the case wouldnt they be shorter for the flag. Thats normally how it works.
Y e s p l u g g a 6 6. B u t i f y o u h a v e a l o o k a t t h e c u r r e n t o d d s f o r f l a g f u t u r e r s t h e s a i n t s a r e o n l y 2 5 c e n t s b e h i n d t h e c a t s a n d t h e p i e s. D o y o u w a n t m e t o g o o o o n?


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Post: # 988278Post Sainternist »

Pretty good money.

Might just put 20 bucks on them. Should they win, the return would at least play some part in easing the pain of defeat a little.


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Post: # 988279Post plugger66 »

Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:The bookies have to mitigate the risk of some big payouts to some punters that have heavily backed the saints for the flag. They are down millions if the saints win the flag so the odds for this week could be to throw the barracuda punters of the scent.
What makes you say we are the big payout. If that was the case we would be shorter for the flag.
there was some large coin put down when the saints blew out to 5s and 6s towards the end of the h&a. This was in addition to some large cabbage laid down when the boys blew out to 8 around the time we lost to port.
If that was the case wouldnt they be shorter for the flag. Thats normally how it works.
Y e s p l u g g a 6 6. B u t i f y o u h a v e a l o o k a t t h e c u r r e n t o d d s f o r f l a g f u t u r e r s t h e s a i n t s a r e o n l y 2 5 c e n t s b e h i n d t h e c a t s a n d t h e p i e s. D o y o u w a n t m e t o g o o o o n?
That is because we are just about certain to get there. The other 2 teams have to play each other. I would talk slowly to you but as i know a bit about punting I will explain it like that.


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Post: # 988285Post Cairnsman »

plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:The bookies have to mitigate the risk of some big payouts to some punters that have heavily backed the saints for the flag. They are down millions if the saints win the flag so the odds for this week could be to throw the barracuda punters of the scent.
What makes you say we are the big payout. If that was the case we would be shorter for the flag.
there was some large coin put down when the saints blew out to 5s and 6s towards the end of the h&a. This was in addition to some large cabbage laid down when the boys blew out to 8 around the time we lost to port.
If that was the case wouldnt they be shorter for the flag. Thats normally how it works.
Y e s p l u g g a 6 6. B u t i f y o u h a v e a l o o k a t t h e c u r r e n t o d d s f o r f l a g f u t u r e r s t h e s a i n t s a r e o n l y 2 5 c e n t s b e h i n d t h e c a t s a n d t h e p i e s. D o y o u w a n t m e t o g o o o o n?
That is because we are just about certain to get there. The other 2 teams have to play each other. I would talk slowly to you but as i know a bit about punting I will explain it like that.
hey you don't have to tell me you know a bit about punting. I already knew that.


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Post: # 988286Post plugger66 »

Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:The bookies have to mitigate the risk of some big payouts to some punters that have heavily backed the saints for the flag. They are down millions if the saints win the flag so the odds for this week could be to throw the barracuda punters of the scent.
What makes you say we are the big payout. If that was the case we would be shorter for the flag.
there was some large coin put down when the saints blew out to 5s and 6s towards the end of the h&a. This was in addition to some large cabbage laid down when the boys blew out to 8 around the time we lost to port.
If that was the case wouldnt they be shorter for the flag. Thats normally how it works.
Y e s p l u g g a 6 6. B u t i f y o u h a v e a l o o k a t t h e c u r r e n t o d d s f o r f l a g f u t u r e r s t h e s a i n t s a r e o n l y 2 5 c e n t s b e h i n d t h e c a t s a n d t h e p i e s. D o y o u w a n t m e t o g o o o o n?
That is because we are just about certain to get there. The other 2 teams have to play each other. I would talk slowly to you but as i know a bit about punting I will explain it like that.
hey you don't have to tell me you know a bit about punting. I already knew that.
Well I know how to lose well but if you have any hints on collecting please PM me.


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Post: # 988289Post bigcarl »

ridiculous odds in a two-horse race, but that's obviously where the money is.


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Post: # 988290Post Cairnsman »

plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
Cairnsman wrote:The bookies have to mitigate the risk of some big payouts to some punters that have heavily backed the saints for the flag. They are down millions if the saints win the flag so the odds for this week could be to throw the barracuda punters of the scent.
What makes you say we are the big payout. If that was the case we would be shorter for the flag.
there was some large coin put down when the saints blew out to 5s and 6s towards the end of the h&a. This was in addition to some large cabbage laid down when the boys blew out to 8 around the time we lost to port.
If that was the case wouldnt they be shorter for the flag. Thats normally how it works.
Y e s p l u g g a 6 6. B u t i f y o u h a v e a l o o k a t t h e c u r r e n t o d d s f o r f l a g f u t u r e r s t h e s a i n t s a r e o n l y 2 5 c e n t s b e h i n d t h e c a t s a n d t h e p i e s. D o y o u w a n t m e t o g o o o o n?
That is because we are just about certain to get there. The other 2 teams have to play each other. I would talk slowly to you but as i know a bit about punting I will explain it like that.
hey you don't have to tell me you know a bit about punting. I already knew that.
Well I know how to lose well but if you have any hints on collecting please PM me.
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Post: # 988294Post kosifantutti23 »

plugger66 wrote:$1.25 to $ 4.90 on Betfair. Always get the best odds there.
Less 5% of your winnings.

If you were backing the Saints, better to do it at Centrebet at $1.23 than Betfair at $1.24 (equivalent to 1.228). The Bulldogs are still better value at Betfair.


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Re: Dawgs $4.50

Post: # 988303Post SaintPav »

I just can't imaging the dogs playing off in the GF. It would be a masacre whoever they came up against. When was the last time we went into a GF expecting a team not to have any chance? Dees against Dons in 2000. Roos v Blues in 1999. Even Port would have been given more of a chance in 07.


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Post: # 988309Post perfectionist »

bigcarl wrote:ridiculous odds in a two-horse race, but that's obviously where the money is.
Agree.

Also, you would have to think that both the squealers 1 and the squealers 2 would be hoping for the dawgs to win.


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Post: # 988311Post MCG-Unit »

bigcarl wrote:ridiculous odds in a two-horse race, but that's obviously where the money is.
Yep, and 2 weeks ago, the Saints were $3.50 (Under 39.5) against Geelong :shock: 8-)
You get some crazy odds sometimes


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Post: # 988315Post noob »

someone tell me who you think will poll higher in the brownlow? Hayes or Goddard?


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Post: # 988316Post Cairnsman »

noob wrote:someone tell me who you think will poll higher in the brownlow? Hayes or Goddard?
Hayes. No question. The umpires dislike Goddard.


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Post: # 988317Post Dr Spaceman »

Sainternist wrote:Pretty good money.

Might just put 20 bucks on them. Should they win, the return would at least play some part in easing the pain of defeat a little.
Nah, nothing would ease the pain if we miss this opportunity to get to the GF!


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Post: # 988331Post Dan Warna »

betfair reflect where the money is.

if the saints win, on the odds given a few weeks ago, they lose a lot of money.

they are hoping to entice gamblers with long odds for the dogs.

if the dogs then win, they keep the money from the big saints bets, if the saints win, they have money from the dogs supporters to offset the losses.

betfair et al don't care who wins as long as they 1. make a profit, 2 offset any losses.

a couple of well publicised 500k bets at 8.1 will see 4 million plus payouts, hence the long odds for the dogs.

that is all.


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Post: # 988708Post perfectionist »

Blown out to $4.75 at Sportsbet (we are $1.20). Maybe they all have the 'flu!


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