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Agree with the first half but I feel the second half of your post suggests that you don't think the Bulldogs or Collingwood could do any damage in finals? Or even carlton, hawthorn or Essendon? For what i't's worth, I think all five of those teams could be VERY dangerous in finals. This really is a lot closer this year.
And I agree with the first half of your post but not the second half. Hawks are shot and were VERY lucky to scramble a win today. Essendon and blues are not in the class of the top 4 and have proven that since the break I reckon.