Chances of finishing 4th
Moderators: Saintsational Administrators, Saintsational Moderators
- Winmar7Fan
- Club Player
- Posts: 756
- Joined: Thu 08 May 2008 5:31pm
- Location: Gold Coast
Chances of finishing 4th
Is it THAT much of a long shot?
We beat Essendon - should do
Bulldogs beat Adelaide - should do
Freo beat Collingwood - Ok bit of an upset required but at Subiaco
Port beat Kangaroos -Upset required but anything can happen as we know
Yeah I know none of these may happen but my point is Bulldogs and us would be expected to win or favourites anyway.
If Collingwood have one of their wobbly flat games, then it's a matter of Port causing an upset and lets face it they aren't the worst team in the comp and actually on their day can be quite tough.
My point is it isn't such a mathematical long shot and very realistic If the teams win that should and a couple upsets which I don't class as major.
We beat Essendon - should do
Bulldogs beat Adelaide - should do
Freo beat Collingwood - Ok bit of an upset required but at Subiaco
Port beat Kangaroos -Upset required but anything can happen as we know
Yeah I know none of these may happen but my point is Bulldogs and us would be expected to win or favourites anyway.
If Collingwood have one of their wobbly flat games, then it's a matter of Port causing an upset and lets face it they aren't the worst team in the comp and actually on their day can be quite tough.
My point is it isn't such a mathematical long shot and very realistic If the teams win that should and a couple upsets which I don't class as major.
-
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 7282
- Joined: Tue 09 Mar 2004 9:31am
- Has thanked: 11 times
- Been thanked: 142 times
Re: Chances of finishing 4th
Winmar7Fan wrote:Is it THAT much of a long shot?
We beat Essendon - should do
Bulldogs beat Adelaide - should do
Freo beat Collingwood - Ok bit of an upset required but at Subiaco
Port beat Kangaroos -Upset required but anything can happen as we know
Yeah I know none of these may happen but my point is Bulldogs and us would be expected to win or favourites anyway.
If Collingwood have one of their wobbly flat games, then it's a matter of Port causing an upset and lets face it they aren't the worst team in the comp and actually on their day can be quite tough.
My point is it isn't such a mathematical long shot and very realistic If the teams win that should and a couple upsets which I don't class as major.
consider it a very long shot
saint4life
- Winmar7Fan
- Club Player
- Posts: 756
- Joined: Thu 08 May 2008 5:31pm
- Location: Gold Coast
Based on the bookies prices it's 25/1 we'll finish 4th. Very little chance.
Strangely Adelaide is favourite over the Dogs. Surely they'll roll Adelaide after their performance last week??? The Dogs travel well too.
Fingers crossed the Dockers do a number on the Pies on Friday and then all we have to do is win for a home final.
Strangely Adelaide is favourite over the Dogs. Surely they'll roll Adelaide after their performance last week??? The Dogs travel well too.
Fingers crossed the Dockers do a number on the Pies on Friday and then all we have to do is win for a home final.
- The Saintsational Man
- Club Player
- Posts: 1475
- Joined: Mon 09 Jul 2007 12:04pm
Freo beat Collingwood - $2.50
Port beat North - $4.50
Dogs beat Crows - $1.95
Saints beat Dons - $1.13
Rolls into $24.79 to $1.
Now after you think about it, we should smash Essendon this week and after the Crows performance on sunday, the doggies should be able to belt them.
That leaves 2.5 x 4.5.....11.25 to 1.
I like those odds.....
Maybe for the first time in 21 years the footy gods are looking after the great man.
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
Port beat North - $4.50
Dogs beat Crows - $1.95
Saints beat Dons - $1.13
Rolls into $24.79 to $1.
Now after you think about it, we should smash Essendon this week and after the Crows performance on sunday, the doggies should be able to belt them.
That leaves 2.5 x 4.5.....11.25 to 1.
I like those odds.....
Maybe for the first time in 21 years the footy gods are looking after the great man.
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
![Image](http://i1353.photobucket.com/albums/q676/Hayden_Putz/Random/securedownload5_zpsd26b17eb.png)
- Winmar7Fan
- Club Player
- Posts: 756
- Joined: Thu 08 May 2008 5:31pm
- Location: Gold Coast
I'm saying with teams being so volatile and inconsistent and we are a good example, how can you give Port absolutely NO hope of knocking over North?plugger66 wrote:What does that mean. Tipping been with us!!Winmar7Fan wrote:How can you say that? Hows your tipping been with us this year?plugger66 wrote:Port have no hope against North and freo have very little hope. As I have said before lets just hope the Doggies and us both win.
Because they arent good enough. I still want to know what you meant by saying tipping with us.Winmar7Fan wrote:I'm saying with teams being so volatile and inconsistent and we are a good example, how can you give Port absolutely NO hope of knocking over North?plugger66 wrote:What does that mean. Tipping been with us!!Winmar7Fan wrote:How can you say that? Hows your tipping been with us this year?plugger66 wrote:Port have no hope against North and freo have very little hope. As I have said before lets just hope the Doggies and us both win.
- Saintschampions08
- Club Player
- Posts: 732
- Joined: Thu 31 Jan 2008 11:04am
- Winmar7Fan
- Club Player
- Posts: 756
- Joined: Thu 08 May 2008 5:31pm
- Location: Gold Coast
Don't get paranoid I'm simply using St Kilda as a good example saying I'm sure all of us including me have tipped us to win games we've lost and tipped us to lose games we've won .plugger66 wrote:Because they arent good enough. I still want to know what you meant by saying tipping with us.Winmar7Fan wrote:I'm saying with teams being so volatile and inconsistent and we are a good example, how can you give Port absolutely NO hope of knocking over North?plugger66 wrote:What does that mean. Tipping been with us!!Winmar7Fan wrote:How can you say that? Hows your tipping been with us this year?plugger66 wrote:Port have no hope against North and freo have very little hope. As I have said before lets just hope the Doggies and us both win.
So you should know not to be so positive North can't lose.
I think the point is it needs 3 upsets. 2 of them major. I would be happy just to win and also the doggies but good luck to you. I hope you are right but im pretty sure you will be disappointed.Winmar7Fan wrote:Don't get paranoid I'm simply using St Kilda as a good example saying I'm sure all of us including me have tipped us to win games we've lost and tipped us to lose games we've won .plugger66 wrote:Because they arent good enough. I still want to know what you meant by saying tipping with us.Winmar7Fan wrote:I'm saying with teams being so volatile and inconsistent and we are a good example, how can you give Port absolutely NO hope of knocking over North?plugger66 wrote:What does that mean. Tipping been with us!!Winmar7Fan wrote:How can you say that? Hows your tipping been with us this year?plugger66 wrote:Port have no hope against North and freo have very little hope. As I have said before lets just hope the Doggies and us both win.
So you should know not to be so positive North can't lose.
-
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 18579
- Joined: Thu 11 Mar 2004 1:36am
- Has thanked: 1905 times
- Been thanked: 841 times
- Winmar7Fan
- Club Player
- Posts: 756
- Joined: Thu 08 May 2008 5:31pm
- Location: Gold Coast
If ever it can happen this has been the year full of upsets I don't see Collingwood going over to play Freo too different to when we went over to play the Eagles.plugger66 wrote:I think the point is it needs 3 upsets. 2 of them major. I would be happy just to win and also the doggies but good luck to you. I hope you are right but im pretty sure you will be disappointed.Winmar7Fan wrote:Don't get paranoid I'm simply using St Kilda as a good example saying I'm sure all of us including me have tipped us to win games we've lost and tipped us to lose games we've won .plugger66 wrote:Because they arent good enough. I still want to know what you meant by saying tipping with us.Winmar7Fan wrote:I'm saying with teams being so volatile and inconsistent and we are a good example, how can you give Port absolutely NO hope of knocking over North?plugger66 wrote:What does that mean. Tipping been with us!!Winmar7Fan wrote:How can you say that? Hows your tipping been with us this year?plugger66 wrote:Port have no hope against North and freo have very little hope. As I have said before lets just hope the Doggies and us both win.
So you should know not to be so positive North can't lose.
I wouldn't call any of them major upsets Melbourne to beat Adelaide at AAMI is an example of what I class as major.
- Saintschampions08
- Club Player
- Posts: 732
- Joined: Thu 31 Jan 2008 11:04am
Except that since round 15 the Kangaroos have lost just one game - are playing to secure a top 4 spot now, and Port Adelaide basically have their reserves team playing..Beno88 wrote:Don't forget North only beat Port by 2 points last time they met in Round 15. And that was at AAMI, where Port have been hopeless this year.
- Winmar7Fan
- Club Player
- Posts: 756
- Joined: Thu 08 May 2008 5:31pm
- Location: Gold Coast
It's all relative how many other teams are saying this that don't have any chance ie Sydney? Also spare a thought for Brisbane.bigcarl wrote:we had our chance to finish top 4 and we blew it. once your destiny is in the hands of others it's not worth contemplating.
Last edited by Winmar7Fan on Tue 26 Aug 2008 5:01pm, edited 1 time in total.
-
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 25303
- Joined: Tue 01 Feb 2005 4:25pm
- Location: Trump Tower
- Has thanked: 142 times
- Been thanked: 284 times
Port will not win.Winmar7Fan wrote:How can you say that? Hows your tipping been with us this year?plugger66 wrote:Port have no hope against North and freo have very little hope. As I have said before lets just hope the Doggies and us both win.
Put your house on it.
North are in top form - a 5 goal loss is against Geelong is like a win against anyone else, prior to that they won 6 straight.
They win - they get 4th, simple!
What more motivation do North need to absolutely flog Port???
- Devilhead
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 8375
- Joined: Mon 08 Mar 2004 11:56pm
- Has thanked: 137 times
- Been thanked: 1169 times
Bulldogs coming off an 8 day break and easy win
Adelaide coming off a 6 day break and a tough loss
- Bullies for me
Port coming off a 7 day break and easy game against Dees
North coming off a 6 day break and tough game against Cats
- 50/50 when you take into account Port's recent form against the Kangas
Collingwood coming off a 6 day break and relatively easy win against the Swans
Freo coming off a 6 day break and narrow loss against the red hot Tiges at the G
- 50/50 considering the game is at Subi and Collingwood are without their general in Scotty Burns - Pav is also out however he did not play against the Tiges anyway
Saints to beat Essendon even though the Bombers are coming off a 9 day break - The Saints are off a 7 day break but have no injuries unlike Essendon
There have been plenty of upsets this year and the North v Port and Freo v Collingwood matches are typical of the type of games that many tipsters have got wrong this year
Even though the teams that will be playing in finals is set - this round will be exciting nontheless
Wherever we finish it is the position that we deserve - lets just hope it is 4th or 5th![Wink :wink:](./images/smilies/icon_wink.gif)
Adelaide coming off a 6 day break and a tough loss
- Bullies for me
Port coming off a 7 day break and easy game against Dees
North coming off a 6 day break and tough game against Cats
- 50/50 when you take into account Port's recent form against the Kangas
Collingwood coming off a 6 day break and relatively easy win against the Swans
Freo coming off a 6 day break and narrow loss against the red hot Tiges at the G
- 50/50 considering the game is at Subi and Collingwood are without their general in Scotty Burns - Pav is also out however he did not play against the Tiges anyway
Saints to beat Essendon even though the Bombers are coming off a 9 day break - The Saints are off a 7 day break but have no injuries unlike Essendon
There have been plenty of upsets this year and the North v Port and Freo v Collingwood matches are typical of the type of games that many tipsters have got wrong this year
Even though the teams that will be playing in finals is set - this round will be exciting nontheless
Wherever we finish it is the position that we deserve - lets just hope it is 4th or 5th
![Wink :wink:](./images/smilies/icon_wink.gif)
The Devil makes work for idle hands!!!