AFL ladder predictor thread.

[ben_fff]

Well I'm obviously bias but I truly believe we could win our way to the top 4.

Geelong 19 3
Bris Lions 18 4
Sydney 16 5 1
St Kilda 15 7
Hawthorn 15 7
Richmond 13 8 1
Nth Melb 13 8 1
W Bulldogs 12 9 1
Adelaide 12 10
Port Adel 12 10
Collingwood 10 12
West Coast 6 16
Carlton 5 17
Fremantle 4 18
Essendon 2 20
Melbourne 2 20

That's pretty accurate to how I rate the teams, our draw isn't that bad really, I still think we have the quality of cattle to win enough games and get that high, I doubt our percentage will touch the hawks though... from our position to Collingwood I see the league as pretty even, the Hawks have performed well but I still think once they lose they'll have a similar fall as we did the second half of 04, Brisbane and Sydney are the suprises for me, both teams are so even across the field and I feel either could beat Geelong on any day.

link: http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php

[ben_fff]

I should probably add Collingwood actually have a tough run home.

[LENNY LEADS THE WAY]

I'll have what he's smoking.

[ben_fff]

rose coloured.

[remboy]

Tell him he's dreaming.

[LENNY LEADS THE WAY]

Ok my ladder is

Hawthorn
Geelong
Sydney
Adelaide
Collingwood
Bisbane
Western Bulldogs
North Melbourne

Port Adelaide
St kilda
Richmond
West Coast
Fremantle
Carlton
Essendon
Melbourne

[ben_fff]

It's no fun without showing the wins/loses.

[saint patrick]

Predicted Ladder # Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Hawthorn 22 20 2 0 2437 2033 80 119.8
2 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2339 1983 76 117.9
3 W Bulldogs 22 17 4 1 2485 2151 70 115.5
8 Bris Lions 22 15 7 0 2341 2110 60 110.9
4 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2247 2040 56 110.1
7 Collingwood 22 13 9 0 2333 2126 52 109.7
12 Port Adel 22 12 10 0 2260 2202 48 102.6
10 St Kilda 22 12 10 0 2191 2164 48 101.2

5 Sydney 22 11 10 1 2171 1978 46 109.7
6 Nth Melb 22 11 10 1 2156 2161 46 99.7
11 Richmond 22 8 13 1 2169 2269 34 95.5
13 West Coast 22 8 14 0 1984 2227 32 89.0
9 Carlton 22 5 17 0 2074 2355 20 88.0
15 Fremantle 22 4 18 0 2050 2303 16 89.0
14 Essendon 22 4 18 0 2038 2536 16 80.3
16 Melbourne 22 1 21 0 1908 2545 4 74.9

Show Current Ladder

[Winmarvellous]

2 Geelong 22 21 1 0 2526 1796 84 140.6
1 Hawthorn 22 20 2 0 2517 1953 80 128.8
3 W Bulldogs 22 16 5 1 2495 2141 66 116.5
8 Bris Lions 22 15 7 0 2357 2094 60 112.5
4 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2275 2012 56 113.0
5 Sydney 22 13 8 1 2213 1936 54 114.3
7 Collingwood 22 13 9 0 2365 2094 52 112.9
12 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2340 2122 52 110.2

6 Nth Melb 22 8 13 1 2078 2239 34 92.8
11 Richmond 22 8 13 1 2134 2304 34 92.6
10 St Kilda 22 8 14 0 2119 2236 32 94.7
13 West Coast 22 8 14 0 1956 2255 32 86.7
15 Fremantle 22 7 15 0 2058 2295 28 89.6
9 Carlton 22 5 17 0 2027 2402 20 84.3
14 Essendon 22 3 19 0 1960 2614 12 74.9
16 Melbourne 22 2 20 0 1763 2690 8 65.5

[Batnoe]

after tonight and last week, i cant see Adelaide making the finals

They have had the easiest of draws to date and they have a tough lot coming up, they could lose 3 or 4 of the next 5 to put them back in the middle of the pack

i think they are the ones that are most vulnerable

[supersaints]

Well I'm obviously bias but I truly believe we could win our way to the top 4.

Geelong 19 3
Bris Lions 18 4
Sydney 16 5 1
St Kilda 15 7
Hawthorn 15 7
Richmond 13 8 1
Nth Melb 13 8 1
W Bulldogs 12 9 1
Adelaide 12 10
Port Adel 12 10
Collingwood 10 12
West Coast 6 16
Carlton 5 17
Fremantle 4 18
Essendon 2 20
Melbourne 2 20

That's pretty accurate to how I rate the teams, our draw isn't that bad really, I still think we have the quality of cattle to win enough games and get that high, I doubt our percentage will touch the hawks though... from our position to Collingwood I see the league as pretty even, the Hawks have performed well but I still think once they lose they'll have a similar fall as we did the second half of 04, Brisbane and Sydney are the suprises for me, both teams are so even across the field and I feel either could beat Geelong on any day.

link: http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php

11 out of thirteen ... Tell him he's dreamin'

[Gilbert=Legend]

2 Geelong 22 21 1 0 2526 1796 84 140.6
1 Hawthorn 22 20 2 0 2517 1953 80 128.8
3 W Bulldogs 22 16 5 1 2495 2141 66 116.5
8 Bris Lions 22 15 7 0 2357 2094 60 112.5
4 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2275 2012 56 113.0
5 Sydney 22 13 8 1 2213 1936 54 114.3
7 Collingwood 22 13 9 0 2365 2094 52 112.9
12 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2340 2122 52 110.2

6 Nth Melb 22 8 13 1 2078 2239 34 92.8
11 Richmond 22 8 13 1 2134 2304 34 92.6
10 St Kilda 22 8 14 0 2119 2236 32 94.7
13 West Coast 22 8 14 0 1956 2255 32 86.7
15 Fremantle 22 7 15 0 2058 2295 28 89.6
9 Carlton 22 5 17 0 2027 2402 20 84.3
14 Essendon 22 3 19 0 1960 2614 12 74.9
16 Melbourne 22 2 20 0 1763 2690 8 65.5

Much better.

Who is melbourne's next win against?

My guess is us!!!

[st_Trav_ofWA]

1 Hawthorn 22 19 3 0 2495 1975 76 126.3
2 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2389 1933 76 123.5
8 Bris Lions 22 17 5 0 2387 2064 68 115.6
4 Adelaide 22 16 6 0 2283 2004 64 113.9
3 W Bulldogs 22 14 7 1 2473 2163 58 114.3
5 Sydney 22 13 8 1 2201 1948 54 112.9
7 Collingwood 22 12 10 0 2327 2132 48 109.1
12 Port Adel 22 12 10 0 2284 2178 48 104.8

10 St Kilda 22 12 10 0 2143 2212 48 96.8
6 Nth Melb 22 10 11 1 2150 2167 42 99.2
11 Richmond 22 7 14 1 2159 2279 30 94.7
13 West Coast 22 7 15 0 1954 2257 28 86.5
9 Carlton 22 6 16 0 2046 2383 24 85.8
15 Fremantle 22 4 18 0 2028 2325 16 87.2
14 Essendon 22 4 18 0 1980 2594 16 76.3
16 Melbourne 22 2 20 0 1884 2569 8 73.3


and imo thats the worst possible out come !! if we finnish 9th then we have wasted a year and got nothing to show for it . Natanui will got to melb , Rich will go to Essendon

and geelong wil play Hawthorn in the granny

also tonights lotto numbers are going to be 6 18 29 31 36 with the sup 12 and 21

[twirlyhair]

Predicted Ladder # Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
2 Geelong 22 20 2 0 2373 1949 80 121.7
1 Hawthorn 22 18 4 0 2449 2021 72 121.1
3 W Bulldogs 22 17 4 1 2509 2127 70 117.9
7 Collingwood 22 17 5 0 2420 2039 68 118.6
5 Sydney 22 14 7 1 2201 1948 58 112.9
8 Bris Lions 22 14 8 0 2305 2146 56 107.4
4 Adelaide 22 12 10 0 2211 2076 48 106.5
10 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 2149 2206 44 97.4

12 Port Adel 22 10 12 0 2230 2232 40 99.9
6 Nth Melb 22 9 12 1 2156 2161 38 99.7
11 Richmond 22 8 13 1 2199 2239 34 98.2
9 Carlton 22 7 15 0 2116 2313 28 91.4
15 Fremantle 22 6 16 0 2068 2285 24 90.5
14 Essendon 22 5 17 0 2062 2512 20 82.0
13 West Coast 22 4 18 0 1867 2344 16 79.6
16 Melbourne 22 2 20 0 1868 2585 8 72.2

[Goody]

Christ If we get anywhere but 8th there wil be blood in the streets.
Lyons head will be on the block and I'd imagine a fair few players who are fridge dwellers and out of contract going.
The side will look nothing like it does now, wholesale moves and departures.
This new board promised "Footy First"
Right now it seems to be Fisting First.
Round 10 and nothing but questions and not really a decent victory to brag about.
If it all come good I'll eat my hat, right now we are just overrated try hards.
To see North tonight really try hard and give it a shake in wet conditions and us last week in good conditions look crap makes me wonder.
Nothing but a 10 goal victory tommorow will change my mind
Ladder predictors PPPPPPPPPptttttttwwwwttttt

[Winmarvellous]

It will take more than 60pts against Melbourne to convince me.

[Teflon]

Melbs inclusions look good they wont be easy.

To me its more about our pressure, effort and how we play - IF thats taken a step forward Id be happy.

[mad saint guy]

2 Geelong 22 19 3 0 126.8
1 Hawthorn 22 18 4 0 122.4
7 Collingwood 22 18 4 0 122.1
4 Adelaide 22 17 5 0 113.9
3 W Bulldogs 22 15 6 1 116.7
8 Bris Lions 22 15 7 0 115.0
5 Sydney 22 13 8 1 112.9
6 Nth Melb 22 10 11 1 98.1

10 St Kilda 22 9 13 0 91.6
12 Port Adel 22 8 14 0 94.8
11 Richmond 22 7 14 1 93.2
15 Fremantle 22 7 15 0 94.0
9 Carlton 22 7 15 0 89.3
13 West Coast 22 5 17 0 81.6
14 Essendon 22 4 18 0 77.4
16 Melbourne 22 2 20 0 72.2

[mad saint guy]

It will take more than 60pts against Melbourne to convince me.

A 60 point win against Melbourne would mean absolutely nothing to me. We have always been able to beat the crap teams. A couple of 2 goal wins in the next two weeks against the Bulldogs and Sydney would do a lot more for me than a 90 point win tomorrow.

[ben_fff]

Well I was way off but I can see us making a run at the four now it's in touch, results go our way for the first time in a few years and we'll be a real shot at the cup... providing we reel in the massive difference between the rest of the comp and Geelong.

[Ralphy]

i have us Fourth.

[mick13]

1 Geelong 22 21 1 0 2531 1721 147.07 84
2 W Bulldogs 22 19 2 1 2482 1962 126.50 78
3 Hawthorn 22 18 4 0 2363 1957 120.75 72
4 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2328 1983 117.40 56
5 St Kilda 22 14 8 0 2082 1975 105.42 56
6 Sydney 22 13 8 1 2092 1801 116.16 54
7 Nth Melb 22 12 9 1 2060 2084 98.85 50
8 Richmond 22 11 10 1 2224 2237 99.42 46
9 Bris Lions 22 10 12 0 2165 2153 100.56 40
10 Carlton 22 9 13 0 2107 2247 93.77 36
11 Essendon 22 9 13 0 2098 2420 86.69 36
12 Adelaide 22 8 14 0 1966 2027 96.99 32
13 Port Adel 22 7 15 0 2034 2177 93.43 28
14 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1771 2474 71.58 16
15 Fremantle 22 3 19 0 1854 2164 85.67 12
16 West Coast 22 2 20 0 1679 2454 68.42 8

St Kilda vs Collingwood, is a big, big game.

[Munga]

# Team Pl W L D PF PA Perc Pts
1 Geelong 22 21 1 0 2552 1671 152.72 84
2 W Bulldogs 22 17 4 1 2481 2052 120.91 70
3 Hawthorn 22 17 5 0 2334 1967 118.66 68
4 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2348 1982 118.47 56
5 St Kilda 22 14 8 0 2121 1923 110.30 56
6 Bris Lions 22 14 8 0 2264 2122 106.69 56
7 Sydney 22 13 8 1 2122 1820 116.59 54
8 Adelaide 22 13 9 0 2056 1935 106.25 52

9 Nth Melb 22 11 10 1 2091 2104 99.38 46
10 Richmond 22 9 12 1 2164 2287 94.62 38
11 Carlton 22 8 14 0 2165 2249 96.27 32
12 Essendon 22 8 14 0 2066 2430 85.02 32
13 Port Adel 22 6 16 0 1944 2217 87.69 24
14 Fremantle 22 4 18 0 1726 2045 84.40 16
15 Melbourne 22 3 19 0 1611 2425 66.43 12
16 West Coast 22 2 20 0 1618 2434 66.47 8


A log jam from 4th to 8th, really could finish in any order. West coast to tank even harder.

[saint08]

So on this prediction, assuming round 1, cats beat woods,and dogs beat hawks, would we play :
1. adelaide at telstra round 1
2. when we win, play loser of dogs and hawks;
3. when we win that, play winner of what?

[Munga]

Seems like 5th would be easier in the finals than 4th.