We will still finish in the top 8
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We will still finish in the top 8
If you look at the ladder carefully you will realise that if we beat Hawthorn we will still scrape into the final 8 even if we lose our last 2 games to Eagles and Giants. Everyone just cool your jets until next Sunday. I just hope that they have learned their lesson to not just bomb the ball to the top of the square. It worked early in the season but teams have worked out how to stop that style. Just lower your eyes and hit Membrey or King on the chest is what Ratts should be telling them all week.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
Hopefully our percentage helps us, I haven’t looked at the ladder too closely, just know beating the Hawks is a must! Then hopefully roll GWS in the last round to go into finals with some form ![🤞](//cdn.jsdelivr.net/gh/twitter/twemoji@latest/assets/svg/1f91e.svg)
But after the last few weeks I could see us easily going 0-3 if we don’t fix our forward entries.
But after the last few weeks I could see us easily going 0-3 if we don’t fix our forward entries.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
Holding on to faint hope but we need to start a lot better & get a bit of spark back, way too many passengers in the last 2 weeks leaving the work load to too few. Steele was fantastic Marshall good again Hill had his best game so far but not a real team effort. It has been a gruelling schedule for all clubs we need to stick fat & share the load or it we be another year outside the 8
- The Fireman
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
Nice to play finals but if we have to scrape in you know what will happen next.
- saintsRrising
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
You best look again as I do not believe you looked at it carefully at all.SunnyErnest wrote: ↑Sun 30 Aug 2020 7:25pm If you look at the ladder carefully you will realise that if we beat Hawthorn we will still scrape into the final 8 even if we lose our last 2 games to Eagles and Giants.
Also take note that we have played 14 games.
GWS and Dees have only played 13. So while we are on 32, they are on 28 with a game in hand.
Dees also have a very soft run home. Swans, Dockers, Giants and Dons. So they are very likely to stay in the 8. If they win 2 games well they will be level with us on 36, and may slide above us on %.
GWS could well win all 4 ( Blues, Crows, Dees and us). (If they win 3 they are on 40 points) So if we only beat the Hawks we are in trouble as we are will be on 36..
Dogs are also a chance.
Our % may help re GWS and Dogs, but the Dees is almost the same as ours.
Even if we win 2 we could still possibly miss. Only beat the Hawks and we are likely to miss.
Last edited by saintsRrising on Sun 30 Aug 2020 8:28pm, edited 2 times in total.
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- johnearljames
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
GWS plays Melbourne in the second last game. That helps a lot.
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- saintsRrising
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
johnearljames wrote: ↑Sun 30 Aug 2020 8:17pm GWS plays Melbourne in the second last game. That helps a lot.
Not if we only win one game.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
As I said, if we beat the Hawks we will get in by percentage. The only caveat is we don’t get smashed by the Eagles nor the Giants.saintsRrising wrote: ↑Sun 30 Aug 2020 8:12pmYou best look again as I do not believe you looked at it carefully at all.SunnyErnest wrote: ↑Sun 30 Aug 2020 7:25pm If you look at the ladder carefully you will realise that if we beat Hawthorn we will still scrape into the final 8 even if we lose our last 2 games to Eagles and Giants.
Also take note that we have played 14 games.
GWS and Dees have only played 13. So while we are on 32, they are on 28 with a game in hand.
Dees also have a very soft run home. Swans, Dockers, Giants and Dons. So they are very likely to stay in the 8. If they win 2 games well they will be level with us on 36, and may slide above us on %.
GWS could well win all 4 ( Blues, Crows, Dees and us). (If they win 3 they are on 40 points) So if we only beat the Hawks we are in trouble as we are will be on 36..
Dogs are also a chance.
Our % may help re GWS and Dogs, but the Dees is almost the same as ours.
Even if we win 2 we could still possibly miss. Only beat the Hawks and we are likely to miss.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
% is irrelevant if:SunnyErnest wrote: ↑Sun 30 Aug 2020 8:35pmAs I said, if we beat the Hawks we will get in by percentage. The only caveat is we don’t get smashed by the Eagles nor the Giants.saintsRrising wrote: ↑Sun 30 Aug 2020 8:12pmYou best look again as I do not believe you looked at it carefully at all.SunnyErnest wrote: ↑Sun 30 Aug 2020 7:25pm If you look at the ladder carefully you will realise that if we beat Hawthorn we will still scrape into the final 8 even if we lose our last 2 games to Eagles and Giants.
Also take note that we have played 14 games.
GWS and Dees have only played 13. So while we are on 32, they are on 28 with a game in hand.
Dees also have a very soft run home. Swans, Dockers, Giants and Dons. So they are very likely to stay in the 8. If they win 2 games well they will be level with us on 36, and may slide above us on %.
GWS could well win all 4 ( Blues, Crows, Dees and us). (If they win 3 they are on 40 points) So if we only beat the Hawks we are in trouble as we are will be on 36..
Dogs are also a chance.
Our % may help re GWS and Dogs, but the Dees is almost the same as ours.
Even if we win 2 we could still possibly miss. Only beat the Hawks and we are likely to miss.![]()
Dees win Swans, Dockers and Dons = 40 points
Giants win Blues, Crows, Dees and us = 44 points
Saints only beat Hawks = 36 points
Also % is irrelevant if:
Giants only win 3 and Dees win 3 (ie they lose one each)
% kicks in:
- if Dees only win 2 and we only win 1 and GWS win 3
- if Dees only win 2 and we only win 1 and GWS win 2, but WCE and GWS pumo us enough that GWS % goes above ours.
If StKilda only wins one game we are unlikely to make the 8. We need one of GWS or Dees to tank their run home, and also hope they Dogs do not finish well.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
Dees are still not certainties and are known for dropping games they are expected to win.
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- saintsRrising
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
Yes and I will be barracking hard for the Dockers. We probably would need too the injectors to get us over the line though if we only win one game. Hopefully Daniher will fire them up.
They play Swans, Dockers, Giants and Dons
Last edited by saintsRrising on Mon 31 Aug 2020 12:43am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
PS. I am expecting Clarko will have watched our games and am expecting him slow down the game as much as possible. It is good that the the Hawks have to play before we meet them and they will be 5 days between games. Whereas we are 8 days and will be fully rested.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
Recent history suggests we will not. We as a club have been incapable of winning a crunch game for a decade - there is no lived experience of triumph in the face of serious challenge and opportunity. Knowing we have to win next week and probably one of the other two is the cue to bring out the don't panic tees. We cannot score sufficient goals now clubs realise blanket Butler and there is not much else in the Saints arsenal. Saturday's match was our Waterloo. May as well use the remaining games to blood youngsters and try out different positions. The scenario is so darn predictable; tough decisions were needed a month ago and now its too late. Ironically after we lose to Hawthorn, if injuries allow them to field a side, we will probably knock over GWS in the last game dead rubber and give ourselves bruises patting shoulders. With similar irony Melbourne will be flogged in their final while we watch from stage 3 isolation. Have we sold our draft pick.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
we've dropped, and will keep dropping.
Melbourne plays Sydney, if they win, they will be on 32 pts like us, but we'll have a better %
The round after, they play the dockers.
I can't see us winning again this year, based on yesterday's debacle.
Melbourne plays Sydney, if they win, they will be on 32 pts like us, but we'll have a better %
The round after, they play the dockers.
I can't see us winning again this year, based on yesterday's debacle.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
Correctamundo. So long as we win, and one of Collingwood, Melbourne, or GWS lose, we are in.SunnyErnest wrote: ↑Sun 30 Aug 2020 7:25pm If you look at the ladder carefully you will realise that if we beat Hawthorn we will still scrape into the final 8 even if we lose our last 2 games to Eagles and Giants. Everyone just cool your jets until next Sunday. I just hope that they have learned their lesson to not just bomb the ball to the top of the square. It worked early in the season but teams have worked out how to stop that style. Just lower your eyes and hit Membrey or King on the chest is what Ratts should be telling them all week.
It might pay for us to have a big win and shore up the percentage on Sunday though.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
4 of our losses have been by 1 goal or less.
I think we'll beat Hawthorn easily and will win against the Giants - they haven't been world beaters this season.
A lot of teams above us, or around us, have just won a lot of their matches. We have won most of our victories convincingly.
I'm not giving up yet. Win Sunday and it's game on.
I think we'll beat Hawthorn easily and will win against the Giants - they haven't been world beaters this season.
A lot of teams above us, or around us, have just won a lot of their matches. We have won most of our victories convincingly.
I'm not giving up yet. Win Sunday and it's game on.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
I truly think we have hit the wall. Opposition teams have worked us out, tagging Jones limiting his impact and picking us off when we go forward. We are now struggling to kick the same scores as earlier in the season. Hence unlike other finals aspirated teams we are not starting to play our best footy rather the opposite.
I dont want to be a complete pessimist but I see us going out backwards. Even if we do fall in, we will be an easy kill as we are a team with too many players and a game plan now out of form.
I dont want to be a complete pessimist but I see us going out backwards. Even if we do fall in, we will be an easy kill as we are a team with too many players and a game plan now out of form.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
GWS will take our spot in the eight. Melbourne will scrape in. We won't beat GWS or West Coast. The Melbourne loss was the nail.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
If you are going to be like that then go and post on the Essendon site ffs.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
Are you sure you barrack for St Kilda?Yorkeys wrote: ↑Sun 30 Aug 2020 9:20pm Recent history suggests we will not. We as a club have been incapable of winning a crunch game for a decade - there is no lived experience of triumph in the face of serious challenge and opportunity. Knowing we have to win next week and probably one of the other two is the cue to bring out the don't panic tees. We cannot score sufficient goals now clubs realise blanket Butler and there is not much else in the Saints arsenal. Saturday's match was our Waterloo. May as well use the remaining games to blood youngsters and try out different positions. The scenario is so darn predictable; tough decisions were needed a month ago and now its too late. Ironically after we lose to Hawthorn, if injuries allow them to field a side, we will probably knock over GWS in the last game dead rubber and give ourselves bruises patting shoulders. With similar irony Melbourne will be flogged in their final while we watch from stage 3 isolation. Have we sold our draft pick.
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
the op is trying to make a prediction and so is Yorkeys. What makes your crystal ball more reliable than his?SunnyErnest wrote: ↑Mon 31 Aug 2020 1:05amAre you sure you barrack for St Kilda?Yorkeys wrote: ↑Sun 30 Aug 2020 9:20pm Recent history suggests we will not. We as a club have been incapable of winning a crunch game for a decade - there is no lived experience of triumph in the face of serious challenge and opportunity. Knowing we have to win next week and probably one of the other two is the cue to bring out the don't panic tees. We cannot score sufficient goals now clubs realise blanket Butler and there is not much else in the Saints arsenal. Saturday's match was our Waterloo. May as well use the remaining games to blood youngsters and try out different positions. The scenario is so darn predictable; tough decisions were needed a month ago and now its too late. Ironically after we lose to Hawthorn, if injuries allow them to field a side, we will probably knock over GWS in the last game dead rubber and give ourselves bruises patting shoulders. With similar irony Melbourne will be flogged in their final while we watch from stage 3 isolation. Have we sold our draft pick.
If anything, the prediction by Yorkeys is more accurate based on a track record provided by him of over ten years
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
I am backing us to make the 8
Then enter every Finals game as the underdog with nothing to lose
Then enter every Finals game as the underdog with nothing to lose
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Re: We will still finish in the top 8
one win will need the other cards to fall our way and the win need to be significant and losses small.
2 wins should be fine, so therefore fate in our own hands.
West Coast off 4 day break - rest key personnel if needed
2 wins should be fine, so therefore fate in our own hands.
West Coast off 4 day break - rest key personnel if needed