Saints V Geelong round 5 preview
Moderators: Saintsational Administrators, Saintsational Moderators
- dragit
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 13047
- Joined: Tue 29 Jun 2010 11:56am
- Has thanked: 605 times
- Been thanked: 315 times
Saints V Geelong round 5 preview
AFL.COM SUMMARY
St Kilda has its season back on an even ledger at 2-2 without having played its best football. It comes into this game on the back of two relatively scrappy wins against the Brisbane Lions and Collingwood and will likely need to be cleaner with the ball against Geelong to cause an upset. The speed the Saints have plays well under the roof at Etihad Stadium and will cause concerns for the Cats. By Chris Scott's own admission, his side isn't at its best despite sitting unbeaten through the first four rounds. Patrick Dangerfield and Joel Selwood have typically been in excellent form but impressive contributions from the likes of Tom Hawkins, Mitch Duncan and Steven Motlop are what can make this side a premiership contender.
LAST FIVE TIMES
R14, 2016, St Kilda 14.9 (93) d Geelong 13.12 (90) at Etihad Stadium
R21, 2015, St Kilda 14.13 (97) drew Geelong 15.7 (97) at Etihad Stadium
R13, 2014, Geelong 20.13 (133) d St Kilda 5.7 (37) at Simonds Stadium
R18, 2013, Geelong 21.11 (137) d St Kilda 5.6 (36) at Simonds Stadium
R21, 2012, Geelong 18.15 (123) d St Kilda 11.15 (81) at Etihad Stadium
THE SIX POINTS
1. In round 14 last year, the Saints led by 24 points at half-time before the Cats kicked nine goals to six in the second half, forcing the Saints to hold on. Seb Ross was best on ground for the Saints with 33 disposals.
2. The Cats are ranked second for points per game, averaging 121.7 through four matches. They have been equally as stingy, ranked second for points conceded, at 82.2 points per game.
3. St Kilda’s win in 2016 was its first over Geelong since the 2010 qualifying final. The last two clashes have gone down to the wire: a draw in 2015 before the thriller in 2016. The Saints haven’t won consecutive clashes with Geelong since 2010.
4. The Saints are the No.1 contested marking side in 2017, averaging 13.8 per game. Geelong has also been impressive in this area, ranked sixth at an average of 12.3.
5. Nothing separates the sides at Etihad Stadium: 15 clashes for seven wins each and one draw.
6. In-form Geelong forward Tom Hawkins entered the top 50 of the Schick AFL Player Ratings for the first time in his career this season, on the back of his accurate haul of 16.5 this year.
IT'S A BIG WEEK FOR … Nathan Brown.
The former Collingwood defender has been playing well and stopping power forwards in the mould of Tom Hawkins are exactly the reason he was recruited to St Kilda. Hawkins has kicked 20 goals in his past five games against the Saints.
PREDICTION: Geelong by eight points.
St Kilda has its season back on an even ledger at 2-2 without having played its best football. It comes into this game on the back of two relatively scrappy wins against the Brisbane Lions and Collingwood and will likely need to be cleaner with the ball against Geelong to cause an upset. The speed the Saints have plays well under the roof at Etihad Stadium and will cause concerns for the Cats. By Chris Scott's own admission, his side isn't at its best despite sitting unbeaten through the first four rounds. Patrick Dangerfield and Joel Selwood have typically been in excellent form but impressive contributions from the likes of Tom Hawkins, Mitch Duncan and Steven Motlop are what can make this side a premiership contender.
LAST FIVE TIMES
R14, 2016, St Kilda 14.9 (93) d Geelong 13.12 (90) at Etihad Stadium
R21, 2015, St Kilda 14.13 (97) drew Geelong 15.7 (97) at Etihad Stadium
R13, 2014, Geelong 20.13 (133) d St Kilda 5.7 (37) at Simonds Stadium
R18, 2013, Geelong 21.11 (137) d St Kilda 5.6 (36) at Simonds Stadium
R21, 2012, Geelong 18.15 (123) d St Kilda 11.15 (81) at Etihad Stadium
THE SIX POINTS
1. In round 14 last year, the Saints led by 24 points at half-time before the Cats kicked nine goals to six in the second half, forcing the Saints to hold on. Seb Ross was best on ground for the Saints with 33 disposals.
2. The Cats are ranked second for points per game, averaging 121.7 through four matches. They have been equally as stingy, ranked second for points conceded, at 82.2 points per game.
3. St Kilda’s win in 2016 was its first over Geelong since the 2010 qualifying final. The last two clashes have gone down to the wire: a draw in 2015 before the thriller in 2016. The Saints haven’t won consecutive clashes with Geelong since 2010.
4. The Saints are the No.1 contested marking side in 2017, averaging 13.8 per game. Geelong has also been impressive in this area, ranked sixth at an average of 12.3.
5. Nothing separates the sides at Etihad Stadium: 15 clashes for seven wins each and one draw.
6. In-form Geelong forward Tom Hawkins entered the top 50 of the Schick AFL Player Ratings for the first time in his career this season, on the back of his accurate haul of 16.5 this year.
IT'S A BIG WEEK FOR … Nathan Brown.
The former Collingwood defender has been playing well and stopping power forwards in the mould of Tom Hawkins are exactly the reason he was recruited to St Kilda. Hawkins has kicked 20 goals in his past five games against the Saints.
PREDICTION: Geelong by eight points.
- dragit
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 13047
- Joined: Tue 29 Jun 2010 11:56am
- Has thanked: 605 times
- Been thanked: 315 times
Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview
Not a lot separating the sides in some key stats
(averages)
Saints …………… Cats
369 Disposals 386
34 Clearances 37
53 Inside-50 52
142 Contested Possessions 150
70 Tackles 65
32 Hit-Outs 36
16 Free Kicks 20
(averages)
Saints …………… Cats
369 Disposals 386
34 Clearances 37
53 Inside-50 52
142 Contested Possessions 150
70 Tackles 65
32 Hit-Outs 36
16 Free Kicks 20
- St Chris
- SS Hall of Fame
- Posts: 2153
- Joined: Wed 05 Apr 2006 2:20pm
- Has thanked: 4 times
- Been thanked: 41 times
Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview
Massive challenge this week, but massive opportunity too.
I think we're a sneaky chance - the Cats are handball happy, and if our pressure can force them into over possessing, we can pounce on the turnover. The pressure has to be flat out for 4 quarters though, and we need to covert our shots.
I think we're a sneaky chance - the Cats are handball happy, and if our pressure can force them into over possessing, we can pounce on the turnover. The pressure has to be flat out for 4 quarters though, and we need to covert our shots.
-
- Club Player
- Posts: 553
- Joined: Mon 04 Aug 2008 7:46pm
- Been thanked: 7 times
Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview
It is pretty simple.
Kick straighter at goal and we are in this up to our eyeballs.
Kick the way we have been and it's Geelong by how far.
Just kick straight for goal FFS!
Kick straighter at goal and we are in this up to our eyeballs.
Kick the way we have been and it's Geelong by how far.
Just kick straight for goal FFS!
When Harvey played his first game in 1988, I was a 12yo wearing short pants and struggling with my readin', writin' and 'rithmetic in grade eight. Now, I'm a father of three and a retired AFL player. And he's still going. Amazing! - Michael Voss
-
- SS Hall of Fame
- Posts: 1999
- Joined: Thu 23 Sep 2010 11:35am
- Been thanked: 1199 times
- Otiman
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 8607
- Joined: Thu 28 Jul 2005 11:09pm
- Location: Elsewhere
- Has thanked: 196 times
- Been thanked: 615 times
Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview
This pretty much sums it up for me. Hard to argue anything else matters.St Chris wrote: The pressure has to be flat out for 4 quarters though, and we need to covert our shots.
Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview
I'm pretty confident our backline will match up well on their forwards, the have Danger, we'll get back Steven. They have Motlop but at the other end we'll have Gresham. How well will they go at stopping Roo, Membrey and Bruce?
Without going into it too deep they are far from certainties
Without going into it too deep they are far from certainties
- SaintPav
- Saintsational Legend
- Posts: 18947
- Joined: Wed 16 Jun 2010 9:24pm
- Location: Alma Road
- Has thanked: 1587 times
- Been thanked: 1987 times
Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview
Think we've had the better preparation with the frantic last ten min than their soft last half.
Hoping it will work for us.
Hoping it will work for us.
Holder of unacceptable views and other thought crimes.
-
- SS Life Member
- Posts: 3950
- Joined: Thu 24 Sep 2015 3:12pm
- Has thanked: 372 times
- Been thanked: 214 times
Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview
Yeap, big +1, I think we will, not only beat them, but by about 6 goals and more!!!!!SaintPav wrote:Think we've had the better preparation with the frantic last ten min than their soft last half.
Hoping it will work for us.
'Cause StoneCold Said So'!!!!!
We will be great again once Billy is back playing!!!!!
The 'Last Post', it's the gift that keeps giving![📯](//cdn.jsdelivr.net/gh/twitter/twemoji@latest/assets/svg/1f4ef.svg)
![📯](//cdn.jsdelivr.net/gh/twitter/twemoji@latest/assets/svg/1f4ef.svg)
![📯](//cdn.jsdelivr.net/gh/twitter/twemoji@latest/assets/svg/1f4ef.svg)
![📯](//cdn.jsdelivr.net/gh/twitter/twemoji@latest/assets/svg/1f4ef.svg)
![📯](//cdn.jsdelivr.net/gh/twitter/twemoji@latest/assets/svg/1f4ef.svg)
We will be great again once Billy is back playing!!!!!
The 'Last Post', it's the gift that keeps giving