SainterK wrote:Give him one thing, his self belief must be enormous...
Mine would of taken a hit by now
Why? He's coached the 19th most grand finals of all time, 27th most finals. Here's his performance against all the other coaches who started at the same time or after him:
C Scott: 79% win rate, 6 finals, 1 grand final, 1 flag
Buckley: 68% win rate, 4 finals
Longmire: 67% win rate, 7 finals, 1 grand final, 1 flag
Lyon: 67% win rate, 12 finals, 4 grand finals
Sanderson: 61% win rate, 3 finals
Hinkley: 57% win rate
Hird: 56% win rate, 1 final
Ratten: 51% win rate, 4 finals
B Scott: 51% win rate, 1 final
Hardwick: 45% win rate, 1 final
Harvey: 41% win rate, 2 finals
Voss: 40% win rate, 2 finals
Knights: 39% win rate, 1 final
Watters: 39% win rate
McCartney: 30% win rate
Bailey: 28% win rate
Primus: 28% win rate
McKenna: 21% win rate
Neeld: 15% win rate
More finals and grand finals than any of them, as good a win rate as anyone except Chris Scott. No flags, but only 2 of the 7 flags since he started coaching have been won by guys more inexperienced than him - Scott and Longmire.
Yes, he needs to win one sooner or later. If not he'll be on a list with Eade, Northey, Bob Rose - guys who coached a lot of finals and got to grand finals but couldn't win them. But I personally wouldn't be betting against him.