8 point win tonight...

saintsRrising · Sat 23 Jul 2011 12:43am

Tonight's win had massive improvement of our %.

It is now above the Swans and just 2 % less than the Dons. A good win against the GC next week could see us having a % greater than the Dons.

This is a real bonus as up to tonight I thought that we would need to win one more game than them to get above them. Now it is possible that we may get there with %, and this could well give us a crack at a home final.

gringo · Post: # 1109305Post **gringo** » Sat 23 Jul 2011 12:45am

Imagine where we would be with a half fair draw.

Armoooo · Post: # 1109392Post **Armoooo** » Sat 23 Jul 2011 1:31am

I have a feeling our percentage will end up being irrelevant.

I think we will come 6th or 7th and play the bombers at the MCG anyway...

Couldn't hurt to get a great % either way though.

philtee · Post: # 1109400Post **philtee** » Sat 23 Jul 2011 1:45am

Now into the eight. Probably only for less than 24 hours.
But we picked up about 8 percentage points as well.

saintsRrising · Sat 23 Jul 2011 1:54am

philtee wrote:Now into the eight. Probably only for less than 24 hours.
But we picked up about 8 percentage points as well.

But the ladder tonight is true ladder as the games played is equal.

We have a better run home that the teams around us....so we are sitting ok now.

Need to beat the Swans and Blues though...not to make the 8...but to enter the finals with confidence and in form.

Austinnn · Post: # 1109412Post **Austinnn** » Sat 23 Jul 2011 1:56am

Here's your 8 POINTS:

Point 1: We won by a margin of over 100 pts for the first time this year. We drew with the team just above Adelaide on the ladder 16rds ago, so we're improving.

Point 2: Brendan Goddard is playing well after having a slow start to the season, and the Skipper, though he still isn't super-damaging on the scoreboard, is taking strong marks again.

Point 3: We had a slow start to the season because unlike the other teams except for the Pies, we finished 3 weeks later than everybody else. The real question is how are the Pies doing so well.

Point 4: Our lesser players are starting to stand up and win plaudits. Peake, Steven (suspended at the start of the year), Gram, Polo, Gamble, Kosi, Clarke the last 2 weeks, Armitage tonight, after being down earlier.

Point 5: If 4th placed Carlton beat the Dons well enough for them to lose more than 2% and the Doggies manage to beat Sydney in Sydney (Barry Hall wild card) and Hawthorn beat Melbourne, we go up to 7th place.

Point 6: 6th placed Freo play WCE this week, Hawthorn at Subi in rd19. If they lose both of those games, that place is up for grabs.

Point 7: We've won 8, lost 7 and drawn 1, back in black for the first time this year. We've also won 4 in a row. We are on a roll.

Point 8: We are on a dream run that continues with Gold Coast and Freo @ docklands. Both should be wins, then we face the Magpies @ Etihad on a Friday night showcase. We'll be full of confidence, needing a decent scalp after a bit of downhill skiing just like we did against West Coast. The Pies might just be beginning to tire. They don't get spooked by many teams but we drew them in a GF less than 12 months ago. Who knows... We MUST believe we can do this. With heart and head.

We will play finals, we will compete. Most of the players have been there before, they know what to do. Who knows how far we'll get. We are not just going to go quietly away.

Ahh, well at least let's enjoy the big win this week and not get too ahead of ourselves!

bergholt · Post: # 1109420Post **bergholt** » Sat 23 Jul 2011 2:04am

Armoooo wrote:I think we will come 6th or 7th and play the bombers at the MCG anyway...

f*** i hope not.

HardSaint · Post: # 1109422Post **HardSaint** » Sat 23 Jul 2011 2:11am

bergholt wrote:
Armoooo wrote:I think we will come 6th or 7th and play the bombers at the MCG anyway...
f*** i hope not.

I reckon a final would a fantastic occasion to whack them for once and get the monkey off our back

I Love Peter Kiel · Sat 23 Jul 2011 3:09am

HardSaint wrote:
bergholt wrote:
Armoooo wrote:I think we will come 6th or 7th and play the bombers at the MCG anyway...
f*** i hope not.
I reckon a final would a fantastic occasion to whack them for once and get the monkey off our back

Agree, we cannot fear anyone.

I am so sick of Essendon and tired of the media's fawning coverage of James Hird.

If we end up beating them in a final then all their home and away wins over us won't be worth JACK SH*T!

Armoooo · Post: # 1109466Post **Armoooo** » Sat 23 Jul 2011 4:01am

I Love Peter Kiel wrote:
HardSaint wrote:
bergholt wrote:
Armoooo wrote:I think we will come 6th or 7th and play the bombers at the MCG anyway...
f*** i hope not.
I reckon a final would a fantastic occasion to whack them for once and get the monkey off our back
Agree, we cannot fear anyone.

I am so sick of Essendon and tired of the media's fawning coverage of James Hird.

If we end up beating them in a final then all their home and away wins over us won't be worth JACK SH*T!

I'd be a hell of a lot more confident of beating them in the finals than in the home and away season...

Just remember the last final they played.... they may aswell not have.

stevie · Post: # 1109483Post **stevie** » Sat 23 Jul 2011 8:33am

we'd be playing them at the G hopefully and not Etihad - a big difference. Etihad against us suits them more for some reason.

The G has been our second home recently and I wouldnt be worried about playing them there.

After the Cats, we are the most finals hardened team at the mo

bigred · Post: # 1109489Post **bigred** » Sat 23 Jul 2011 9:05am

Big month coming up.

Could really turn the comp on its ear if we run the Filth for four quarters or even win that game......

I reckon we will at least win a final.

Thats what we do.

InkerSaint · Sat 23 Jul 2011 11:20am

If Essendon lose to Carlton by more than 4 goals they could drop below us on percentage.

SainterK · Post: # 1109589Post **SainterK** » Sat 23 Jul 2011 11:21am

InkerSaint wrote:If Essendon lose to Carlton by more than 4 goals they could drop below us on percentage.

Carlton should win, easily.

Key word, should.

saintspremiers · Sat 23 Jul 2011 11:53am

SainterK wrote:
InkerSaint wrote:If Essendon lose to Carlton by more than 4 goals they could drop below us on percentage.
Carlton should win, easily.

Key word, should.

NFI re Carlton/Bombers game. Impossible form line to read.

Important for us is to finish within 5 goals of the filth to protect our percentage.

InkerSaint · Sat 23 Jul 2011 12:00pm

Just checked the math, the line is roughly 20 points. The higher scoring the game is, the lower the line gets:

80-58 (-22)
100-80 (-20)
120-102 (-18)

Just to add some spice to a Saturday night...